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Kanye blocked from entering the UK by May 31?

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Kanye blocked from entering the UK by May 31?

>99% 機率
Polymarket

$30,647 交易量

>99% 機率
Polymarket

$30,647 交易量

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Kanye West is formally refused entry into the United Kingdom between market creation and May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. For the purposes of this market, “refused entry” refers to any formal action by the government of the United Kingdom that bars Kanye West from lawfully entering the United Kingdom. Qualifying actions include, refusing or cancelling a visa for West, issuing an exclusion decision or order against West, or otherwise formally determining that West may not enter the United Kingdom. Actions that do not affect West’s legal ability to enter the United Kingdom, including West voluntarily withdrawing from an upcoming appearance at the Wireless Festival or the Wireless Festival removing West from its lineup, will not alone qualify. A formal public announcement by the government of the United Kingdom, made within this market’s timeframe, that a qualifying action has been taken or will be taken will be sufficient for a “Yes” resolution, regardless of when that action takes effect or any legal challenge it may face. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United Kingdom; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The UK Home Office's recent withdrawal of Ye's Electronic Travel Authorisation (ETA)—confirmed in reports from BBC and The Guardian—has driven trader consensus to near-certainty on a "Yes" outcome, as the rapper, formerly Kanye West, is officially blocked from entering Britain due to his history of antisemitic remarks deemed not conducive to the public good. This decision, announced just hours ago amid backlash over his planned Wireless Festival headline slot in July, prompted the event's outright cancellation and refunds for ticket holders. With the ban in effect well before May 31, markets reflect overwhelming confidence backed by real capital; realistic upsets would require a rare successful appeal or government reversal, unlikely given stringent UK visa precedents on hate speech.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Kanye West is formally refused entry into the United Kingdom between market creation and May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

For the purposes of this market, “refused entry” refers to any formal action by the government of the United Kingdom that bars Kanye West from lawfully entering the United Kingdom. Qualifying actions include, refusing or cancelling a visa for West, issuing an exclusion decision or order against West, or otherwise formally determining that West may not enter the United Kingdom.

Actions that do not affect West’s legal ability to enter the United Kingdom, including West voluntarily withdrawing from an upcoming appearance at the Wireless Festival or the Wireless Festival removing West from its lineup, will not alone qualify.

A formal public announcement by the government of the United Kingdom, made within this market’s timeframe, that a qualifying action has been taken or will be taken will be sufficient for a “Yes” resolution, regardless of when that action takes effect or any legal challenge it may face.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United Kingdom; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$30,647
結束日期
2026-05-31
市場開放時間
Apr 6, 2026, 5:28 PM ET
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Kanye West is formally refused entry into the United Kingdom between market creation and May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. For the purposes of this market, “refused entry” refers to any formal action by the government of the United Kingdom that bars Kanye West from lawfully entering the United Kingdom. Qualifying actions include, refusing or cancelling a visa for West, issuing an exclusion decision or order against West, or otherwise formally determining that West may not enter the United Kingdom. Actions that do not affect West’s legal ability to enter the United Kingdom, including West voluntarily withdrawing from an upcoming appearance at the Wireless Festival or the Wireless Festival removing West from its lineup, will not alone qualify. A formal public announcement by the government of the United Kingdom, made within this market’s timeframe, that a qualifying action has been taken or will be taken will be sufficient for a “Yes” resolution, regardless of when that action takes effect or any legal challenge it may face. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United Kingdom; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

已提議結果: Yes

無爭議

最終結果: Yes

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Kanye West is formally refused entry into the United Kingdom between market creation and May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. For the purposes of this market, “refused entry” refers to any formal action by the government of the United Kingdom that bars Kanye West from lawfully entering the United Kingdom. Qualifying actions include, refusing or cancelling a visa for West, issuing an exclusion decision or order against West, or otherwise formally determining that West may not enter the United Kingdom. Actions that do not affect West’s legal ability to enter the United Kingdom, including West voluntarily withdrawing from an upcoming appearance at the Wireless Festival or the Wireless Festival removing West from its lineup, will not alone qualify. A formal public announcement by the government of the United Kingdom, made within this market’s timeframe, that a qualifying action has been taken or will be taken will be sufficient for a “Yes” resolution, regardless of when that action takes effect or any legal challenge it may face. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United Kingdom; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The UK Home Office's recent withdrawal of Ye's Electronic Travel Authorisation (ETA)—confirmed in reports from BBC and The Guardian—has driven trader consensus to near-certainty on a "Yes" outcome, as the rapper, formerly Kanye West, is officially blocked from entering Britain due to his history of antisemitic remarks deemed not conducive to the public good. This decision, announced just hours ago amid backlash over his planned Wireless Festival headline slot in July, prompted the event's outright cancellation and refunds for ticket holders. With the ban in effect well before May 31, markets reflect overwhelming confidence backed by real capital; realistic upsets would require a rare successful appeal or government reversal, unlikely given stringent UK visa precedents on hate speech.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Kanye West is formally refused entry into the United Kingdom between market creation and May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

For the purposes of this market, “refused entry” refers to any formal action by the government of the United Kingdom that bars Kanye West from lawfully entering the United Kingdom. Qualifying actions include, refusing or cancelling a visa for West, issuing an exclusion decision or order against West, or otherwise formally determining that West may not enter the United Kingdom.

Actions that do not affect West’s legal ability to enter the United Kingdom, including West voluntarily withdrawing from an upcoming appearance at the Wireless Festival or the Wireless Festival removing West from its lineup, will not alone qualify.

A formal public announcement by the government of the United Kingdom, made within this market’s timeframe, that a qualifying action has been taken or will be taken will be sufficient for a “Yes” resolution, regardless of when that action takes effect or any legal challenge it may face.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United Kingdom; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$30,647
結束日期
2026-05-31
市場開放時間
Apr 6, 2026, 5:28 PM ET
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Kanye West is formally refused entry into the United Kingdom between market creation and May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. For the purposes of this market, “refused entry” refers to any formal action by the government of the United Kingdom that bars Kanye West from lawfully entering the United Kingdom. Qualifying actions include, refusing or cancelling a visa for West, issuing an exclusion decision or order against West, or otherwise formally determining that West may not enter the United Kingdom. Actions that do not affect West’s legal ability to enter the United Kingdom, including West voluntarily withdrawing from an upcoming appearance at the Wireless Festival or the Wireless Festival removing West from its lineup, will not alone qualify. A formal public announcement by the government of the United Kingdom, made within this market’s timeframe, that a qualifying action has been taken or will be taken will be sufficient for a “Yes” resolution, regardless of when that action takes effect or any legal challenge it may face. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United Kingdom; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

已提議結果: Yes

無爭議

最終結果: Yes

警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"Kanye blocked from entering the UK by May 31?" is a prediction market on Polymarket where traders buy and sell "Yes" or "No" shares based on whether they believe this event will happen. The current crowd-sourced probability is 100% for "Yes." For example, if "Yes" is priced at 100¢, the market collectively assigns a 100% chance that this event will occur. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Kanye blocked from entering the UK by May 31?" has generated $30.6K in total trading volume since the market launched on Apr 6, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Kanye blocked from entering the UK by May 31?," simply choose whether you believe the answer is "Yes" or "No." Each side has a current price that reflects the market's implied probability. Enter your amount and click "Trade." If you buy "Yes" shares and the outcome resolves as "Yes," each share pays out $1. If it resolves as "No," your "Yes" shares pay $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current probability for "Kanye blocked from entering the UK by May 31?" is 100% for "Yes." This means the Polymarket crowd currently believes there is a 100% chance that this event will occur. These odds update in real-time based on actual trades, providing a continuously updated signal of what the market expects to happen.

The resolution rules for "Kanye blocked from entering the UK by May 31?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.