Trader consensus on Polymarket prices 30-34 ships transiting the Strait of Hormuz during March 23-29 at 47%, reflecting AIS data showing steady low volumes of 4-7 vessels daily amid Iranian restrictions during the ongoing U.S.-Iran conflict. Recent counts—five on March 23, four on March 24, and seven commercial vessels over March 25-26—have bolstered this range, with four outbound on March 26 and six eastbound on March 29 via Iran's coastal corridor for non-hostile ships. The 25-29 bin at 31% accounts for risks of tighter controls, while pre-war averages of 138 daily transits have plummeted over 95% since late February attacks on commercial vessels, though selective permissions like Pakistan's deal for 20 flagged ships signal modest de-escalation potential. Final tallies await official trackers like IMF PortWatch.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於30-34 40%
25-29 31%
20-24 15%
35-39 11%
$23,419 交易量
$23,419 交易量
Mar 29, 2026
<10
1%
10-14
1%
15-19
11%
20-24
15%
25-29
31%
30-34
40%
35-39
11%
40-44
5%
45+
5%
30-34 40%
25-29 31%
20-24 15%
35-39 11%
$23,419 交易量
$23,419 交易量
Mar 29, 2026
<10
$3,207 交易量
1%
10-14
$3,349 交易量
1%
15-19
$2,422 交易量
11%
20-24
$3,337 交易量
15%
25-29
$1,564 交易量
31%
30-34
$1,843 交易量
40%
35-39
$1,942 交易量
11%
40-44
$1,627 交易量
5%
45+
$4,128 交易量
5%
This market will resolve according to the total number of transit calls that IMF Portwatch reports for the Strait of Hormuz for all days from March 23, 2026, through March 29, 2026, inclusive.
Transit calls include container, dry bulk, roll-on/roll-off, general cargo, and tanker ships. Ships not reported by IMF Portwatch will not be considered.
This market will resolve as soon as data has been published for the final date in the specified period. If no data has been published for the final date of the specified period within 14 calendar days (ET) after the end of that period, this market will resolve based on data published up to that point.
Revisions to previously published data points made within this market’s timeframe will be considered. Revisions to previously published data points after data is published for the final date of the specified period, however, will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be IMF Portwatch, specifically the transit calls data published for the Strait of Hormuz at https://portwatch.imf.org/pages/cb5856222a5b4105adc6ee7e880a1730, both in the chart and through downloadable files.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices 30-34 ships transiting the Strait of Hormuz during March 23-29 at 47%, reflecting AIS data showing steady low volumes of 4-7 vessels daily amid Iranian restrictions during the ongoing U.S.-Iran conflict. Recent counts—five on March 23, four on March 24, and seven commercial vessels over March 25-26—have bolstered this range, with four outbound on March 26 and six eastbound on March 29 via Iran's coastal corridor for non-hostile ships. The 25-29 bin at 31% accounts for risks of tighter controls, while pre-war averages of 138 daily transits have plummeted over 95% since late February attacks on commercial vessels, though selective permissions like Pakistan's deal for 20 flagged ships signal modest de-escalation potential. Final tallies await official trackers like IMF PortWatch.
This market will resolve according to the total number of transit calls that IMF Portwatch reports for the Strait of Hormuz for all days from March 23, 2026, through March 29, 2026, inclusive.
Transit calls include container, dry bulk, roll-on/roll-off, general cargo, and tanker ships. Ships not reported by IMF Portwatch will not be considered.
This market will resolve as soon as data has been published for the final date in the specified period. If no data has been published for the final date of the specified period within 14 calendar days (ET) after the end of that period, this market will resolve based on data published up to that point.
Revisions to previously published data points made within this market’s timeframe will be considered. Revisions to previously published data points after data is published for the final date of the specified period, however, will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be IMF Portwatch, specifically the transit calls data published for the Strait of Hormuz at https://portwatch.imf.org/pages/cb5856222a5b4105adc6ee7e880a1730, both in the chart and through downloadable files.
Transit calls include container, dry bulk, roll-on/roll-off, general cargo, and tanker ships. Ships not reported by IMF Portwatch will not be considered.
This market will resolve as soon as data has been published for the final date in the specified period. If no data has been published for the final date of the specified period within 14 calendar days (ET) after the end of that period, this market will resolve based on data published up to that point.
Revisions to previously published data points made within this market’s timeframe will be considered. Revisions to previously published data points after data is published for the final date of the specified period, however, will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be IMF Portwatch, specifically the transit calls data published for the Strait of Hormuz at https://portwatch.imf.org/pages/cb5856222a5b4105adc6ee7e880a1730, both in the chart and through downloadable files.
市場開放時間： Mar 26, 2026, 8:09 PM ET
交易量
$23,419結束日期
Mar 29, 2026市場開放時間
Mar 26, 2026, 8:09 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the total number of transit calls that IMF Portwatch reports for the Strait of Hormuz for all days from March 23, 2026, through March 29, 2026, inclusive.
Transit calls include container, dry bulk, roll-on/roll-off, general cargo, and tanker ships. Ships not reported by IMF Portwatch will not be considered.
This market will resolve as soon as data has been published for the final date in the specified period. If no data has been published for the final date of the specified period within 14 calendar days (ET) after the end of that period, this market will resolve based on data published up to that point.
Revisions to previously published data points made within this market’s timeframe will be considered. Revisions to previously published data points after data is published for the final date of the specified period, however, will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be IMF Portwatch, specifically the transit calls data published for the Strait of Hormuz at https://portwatch.imf.org/pages/cb5856222a5b4105adc6ee7e880a1730, both in the chart and through downloadable files.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices 30-34 ships transiting the Strait of Hormuz during March 23-29 at 47%, reflecting AIS data showing steady low volumes of 4-7 vessels daily amid Iranian restrictions during the ongoing U.S.-Iran conflict. Recent counts—five on March 23, four on March 24, and seven commercial vessels over March 25-26—have bolstered this range, with four outbound on March 26 and six eastbound on March 29 via Iran's coastal corridor for non-hostile ships. The 25-29 bin at 31% accounts for risks of tighter controls, while pre-war averages of 138 daily transits have plummeted over 95% since late February attacks on commercial vessels, though selective permissions like Pakistan's deal for 20 flagged ships signal modest de-escalation potential. Final tallies await official trackers like IMF PortWatch.
This market will resolve according to the total number of transit calls that IMF Portwatch reports for the Strait of Hormuz for all days from March 23, 2026, through March 29, 2026, inclusive.
Transit calls include container, dry bulk, roll-on/roll-off, general cargo, and tanker ships. Ships not reported by IMF Portwatch will not be considered.
This market will resolve as soon as data has been published for the final date in the specified period. If no data has been published for the final date of the specified period within 14 calendar days (ET) after the end of that period, this market will resolve based on data published up to that point.
Revisions to previously published data points made within this market’s timeframe will be considered. Revisions to previously published data points after data is published for the final date of the specified period, however, will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be IMF Portwatch, specifically the transit calls data published for the Strait of Hormuz at https://portwatch.imf.org/pages/cb5856222a5b4105adc6ee7e880a1730, both in the chart and through downloadable files.
Transit calls include container, dry bulk, roll-on/roll-off, general cargo, and tanker ships. Ships not reported by IMF Portwatch will not be considered.
This market will resolve as soon as data has been published for the final date in the specified period. If no data has been published for the final date of the specified period within 14 calendar days (ET) after the end of that period, this market will resolve based on data published up to that point.
Revisions to previously published data points made within this market’s timeframe will be considered. Revisions to previously published data points after data is published for the final date of the specified period, however, will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be IMF Portwatch, specifically the transit calls data published for the Strait of Hormuz at https://portwatch.imf.org/pages/cb5856222a5b4105adc6ee7e880a1730, both in the chart and through downloadable files.
交易量
$23,419結束日期
Mar 29, 2026市場開放時間
Mar 26, 2026, 8:09 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket prices 30-34 ships transiting the Strait of Hormuz during March 23-29 at 47%, reflecting AIS data showing steady low volumes of 4-7 vessels daily amid Iranian restrictions during the ongoing U.S.-Iran conflict. Recent counts—five on March 23, four on March 24, and seven commercial vessels over March 25-26—have bolstered this range, with four outbound on March 26 and six eastbound on March 29 via Iran's coastal corridor for non-hostile ships. The 25-29 bin at 31% accounts for risks of tighter controls, while pre-war averages of 138 daily transits have plummeted over 95% since late February attacks on commercial vessels, though selective permissions like Pakistan's deal for 20 flagged ships signal modest de-escalation potential. Final tallies await official trackers like IMF PortWatch.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions