Trader consensus heavily favors the $16.5-18 million range for "Hoppers'" third weekend box office at 63.1% implied probability, driven by its resilient second-weekend hold of $12.8 million—a modest 38% drop from a $20.7 million debut—bolstered by strong word-of-mouth (A CinemaScore) and family appeal amid light competition. Recent Thursday previews hit $1.2 million, signaling steady Friday momentum, while streaming alternatives like Netflix's new slate pose minimal threat. Historical precedents for similar PG comedies show third-weekend multipliers around 0.85x the sophomore frame, aligning with $16-17 million projections from Deadline and Box Office Mojo. Upside to $19.5-21 million (10.5%) hinges on exceeding $5 million Friday, but hurricane disruptions in the Southeast cap >$21 million odds at 1%.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於“Hoppers”第三周末票房
“Hoppers”第三周末票房
1,650萬-1,800萬 63.1%
1800-1950萬 26%
1,950萬-2,100萬 10.5%
低於1650萬美元 1.8%
$63,806 交易量
$63,806 交易量
低於1650萬美元
2%
1,650萬-1,800萬
63%
1800-1950萬
26%
1,950萬-2,100萬
11%
>2100萬
1%
1,650萬-1,800萬 63.1%
1800-1950萬 26%
1,950萬-2,100萬 10.5%
低於1650萬美元 1.8%
$63,806 交易量
$63,806 交易量
低於1650萬美元
2%
1,650萬-1,800萬
63%
1800-1950萬
26%
1,950萬-2,100萬
11%
>2100萬
1%
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the BoxOfficeMojo figures provided under Domestic Daily performance for the 3-day weekend, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is no final data available by March 29, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
市場開放時間: Mar 17, 2026, 9:25 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.the-numbers.com/Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://www.the-numbers.com/Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus heavily favors the $16.5-18 million range for "Hoppers'" third weekend box office at 63.1% implied probability, driven by its resilient second-weekend hold of $12.8 million—a modest 38% drop from a $20.7 million debut—bolstered by strong word-of-mouth (A CinemaScore) and family appeal amid light competition. Recent Thursday previews hit $1.2 million, signaling steady Friday momentum, while streaming alternatives like Netflix's new slate pose minimal threat. Historical precedents for similar PG comedies show third-weekend multipliers around 0.85x the sophomore frame, aligning with $16-17 million projections from Deadline and Box Office Mojo. Upside to $19.5-21 million (10.5%) hinges on exceeding $5 million Friday, but hurricane disruptions in the Southeast cap >$21 million odds at 1%.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
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