3月24日武漢氣溫最高？

Name: 3月24日武漢氣溫最高？
Start: 2026-03-19T23:14:51.405Z
End: 2026-03-25T12:00:00.000Z

3月24日武漢氣溫最高？

Mar 22

Mar 23

Mar 24

Mar 25

Mar 22

Mar 23

Mar 24

Mar 25

17°C 29%

16°C 25%

15°C 21%

19°C或更高 18%

NEW

Mar 25, 2026

9°C或以下

$666 交易量

10°C

$708 交易量

11°C

$181 交易量

12°C

$275 交易量

13°C

$342 交易量

14°C

$241 交易量

18%

15°C

$117 交易量

21%

16°C

$462 交易量

25%

17°C

$258 交易量

29%

18°C

$73 交易量

24%

19°C或更高

$88 交易量

16%

17°C 29%

16°C 25%

15°C 21%

19°C或更高 18%

NEW

Mar 25, 2026

9°C或以下

$666 交易量

10°C

$708 交易量

11°C

$181 交易量

12°C

$275 交易量

13°C

$342 交易量

14°C

$241 交易量

18%

15°C

$117 交易量

21%

16°C

$462 交易量

25%

17°C

$258 交易量

29%

18°C

$73 交易量

24%

19°C或更高

$88 交易量

16%

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Mar '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.

Trader sentiment clusters tightly around 16–18°C for Wuhan's highest temperature on March 24, driven by the latest ECMWF and GFS ensemble forecasts projecting mild highs amid southerly winds and partial cloud cover, with a median around 17°C. Leading outcomes differentiate on subtle model divergences: ECMWF leans slightly warmer at 17–18°C due to better resolution of urban heat island effects in Wuhan, while GFS variants show cooler 16°C peaks from increased low-level moisture suppressing daytime heating. Historical late-March averages (15–19°C) and recent observations of 14–16°C support this range, but small uncertainties in cloud evolution and boundary layer mixing keep 19°C+ at 17.5% and sub-15°C viable per NOAA analogs. Final NMC updates today could shift odds.

基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於 Mar 22, 2026, 3:01 AM UTC

警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"3月24日武漢氣溫最高？" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 11 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "17°C" at 29%, followed by "16°C" at 25%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 29¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 29% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"3月24日武漢氣溫最高？" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Mar 19, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "3月24日武漢氣溫最高？," browse the 11 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "3月24日武漢氣溫最高？" is "17°C" at 29%, meaning the market assigns a 29% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "16°C" at 25%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "3月24日武漢氣溫最高？" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.

Yes. You don't need to trade to stay informed. This page serves as a live tracker for "3月24日武漢氣溫最高？." The outcome probabilities update in real-time as new trades come in. You can bookmark this page and check the comments section to see what other traders are saying. You can also use the time-range filters on the chart to see how the odds have shifted over time. It's a free, real-time window into what the market expects to happen.

Polymarket odds are set by real traders putting real money behind their beliefs, which tends to surface accurate predictions. “3月24日武漢氣溫最高？” is still building its trading base, so the odds will become increasingly reliable as more participants enter the market. Prediction markets like Polymarket have a strong track record of accuracy, especially as events approach their resolution date. For example, Polymarket has a one month accuracy score of 94%. For the latest stats on Polymarket’s prediction accuracy, visit the accuracy page on Polymarket.

To place your first trade on "3月24日武漢氣溫最高？," sign up for a free Polymarket account and fund it using crypto, a credit or debit card, or a bank transfer. Once your account is funded, return to this page, select the outcome you want to trade, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If you're new to prediction markets, click the "How it works" link at the top of any Polymarket page for a quick step-by-step walkthrough of how trading works.

On Polymarket, the price of each outcome represents the market's implied probability. A price of 29¢ for "17°C" in the "3月24日武漢氣溫最高？" market means traders collectively believe there is roughly a 29% chance that "17°C" will be the correct result. If you buy "Yes" shares at 29¢ and the outcome is correct, you receive $1.00 per share — a profit of 71¢ per share. If incorrect, those shares are worth $0.

The "3月24日武漢氣溫最高？" market is scheduled to resolve on or around Mar 25, 2026. This means trading will remain open and the odds will continue to shift as new information emerges until that date. The exact resolution timing depends on when the official result becomes available, as outlined in the "Rules" section on this page.

The "3月24日武漢氣溫最高？" market has a growing discussion of 3 comments where traders share their analysis, debate outcomes, and discuss breaking developments. Scroll down to the comments section below to read what other participants think. You can also filter by "Top Holders" to see what the market's biggest traders are positioned on, or check the "Activity" tab for a real-time feed of trades.

Polymarket is the world's largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge of real-world events. Traders buy and sell shares on outcomes for topics ranging from politics and elections to crypto, finance, sports, tech, and culture, including markets like "3月24日武漢氣溫最高？." Prices reflect real-time, crowd-sourced probabilities backed by financial conviction, often providing faster and more accurate signals than polls, pundits, or traditional surveys.

3月24日武漢氣溫最高？

3月24日武漢氣溫最高？

規則

盤口背景

盤口背景

評論 (3)

頂級持倉者

持倉

動態

Frequently Asked Questions

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What does a price of 29¢ for "17°C" mean?

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