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Highest temperature in Warsaw on March 29?

Market icon

Highest temperature in Warsaw on March 29?

Mar 28

Mar 29

Mar 28

Mar 29

17°C or higher 39%

16°C 37%

15°C 11%

14°C 5%

Polymarket

$52,481 交易量

17°C or higher 39%

16°C 37%

15°C 11%

14°C 5%

Polymarket

$52,481 交易量

7°C or below

$9,890 交易量

<1%

8°C

$4,181 交易量

<1%

9°C

$5,379 交易量

<1%

10°C

$7,712 交易量

<1%

11°C

$4,525 交易量

2%

12°C

$2,515 交易量

1%

13°C

$3,960 交易量

2%

14°C

$3,760 交易量

5%

15°C

$3,453 交易量

11%

16°C

$2,798 交易量

37%

17°C or higher

$4,313 交易量

39%

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Mar '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a razor-thin contest between 16°C (39%) and 17°C or higher (36.5%) for Warsaw Chopin's highest temperature today, driven by divergent ECMWF and GFS ensemble forecasts clustering at 14–16°C while the ECMWF control run projects warmer peaks above 16°C under a high-pressure ridge advecting mild continental air masses. IMGW's latest synoptic guidance caps at 14°C due to moderate cloud cover and intermittent showers curbing solar insolation, but lighter northerly winds or delayed precipitation past midday could enable boundary layer mixing for 1–2°C gains amid March's +5.6°C anomaly over the 9°C climatological norm. Hourly IMGW observations at the airport will pinpoint the peak, with uncertainty hinging on shear line evolution and clearing timing.

Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a razor-thin contest between 16°C (39%) and 17°C or higher (36.5%) for Warsaw Chopin's highest temperature today, driven by divergent ECMWF and GFS ensemble forecasts clustering at 14–16°C while the ECMWF control run projects warmer peaks above 16°C under a high-pressure ridge advecting mild continental air masses. IMGW's latest synoptic guidance caps at 14°C due to moderate cloud cover and intermittent showers curbing solar insolation, but lighter northerly winds or delayed precipitation past midday could enable boundary layer mixing for 1–2°C gains amid March's +5.6°C anomaly over the 9°C climatological norm. Hourly IMGW observations at the airport will pinpoint the peak, with uncertainty hinging on shear line evolution and clearing timing.

基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Mar '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a razor-thin contest between 16°C (39%) and 17°C or higher (36.5%) for Warsaw Chopin's highest temperature today, driven by divergent ECMWF and GFS ensemble forecasts clustering at 14–16°C while the ECMWF control run projects warmer peaks above 16°C under a high-pressure ridge advecting mild continental air masses. IMGW's latest synoptic guidance caps at 14°C due to moderate cloud cover and intermittent showers curbing solar insolation, but lighter northerly winds or delayed precipitation past midday could enable boundary layer mixing for 1–2°C gains amid March's +5.6°C anomaly over the 9°C climatological norm. Hourly IMGW observations at the airport will pinpoint the peak, with uncertainty hinging on shear line evolution and clearing timing.

Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a razor-thin contest between 16°C (39%) and 17°C or higher (36.5%) for Warsaw Chopin's highest temperature today, driven by divergent ECMWF and GFS ensemble forecasts clustering at 14–16°C while the ECMWF control run projects warmer peaks above 16°C under a high-pressure ridge advecting mild continental air masses. IMGW's latest synoptic guidance caps at 14°C due to moderate cloud cover and intermittent showers curbing solar insolation, but lighter northerly winds or delayed precipitation past midday could enable boundary layer mixing for 1–2°C gains amid March's +5.6°C anomaly over the 9°C climatological norm. Hourly IMGW observations at the airport will pinpoint the peak, with uncertainty hinging on shear line evolution and clearing timing.

基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於

警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"Highest temperature in Warsaw on March 29?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 11 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "17°C or higher" at 39%, followed by "16°C" at 37%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 39¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 39% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Highest temperature in Warsaw on March 29?" has generated $52.5K in total trading volume since the market launched on Mar 25, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Highest temperature in Warsaw on March 29?," browse the 11 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Highest temperature in Warsaw on March 29?" is "17°C or higher" at 39%, meaning the market assigns a 39% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "16°C" at 37%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Highest temperature in Warsaw on March 29?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.