Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 37.5% implied probability for Shenzhen's highest temperature reaching exactly 27°C on March 29, closely followed by 28°C (24%) and 26°C (23%), reflecting alignment with the latest forecast models from meteorological services like Metcheck, which project a daytime peak of 27–28°C under mostly sunny skies with light northeasterly winds. This positioning stems from a recent warm spell in late March, including a confirmed 29°C high on March 26 at Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport station—well above the typical 23–25°C monthly average—driven by persistent subtropical high pressure and seasonal warming trends. Model consensus highlights peak heating around midday, though sea breezes or patchy clouds could introduce uncertainty, potentially capping at 26°C or boosting to 28°C; final resolution awaits official hourly observations from the China Meteorological Administration.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於Highest temperature in Shenzhen on March 29?
Highest temperature in Shenzhen on March 29?
27°C 37%
28°C 24%
26°C 23%
29°C 9%
$55,848 交易量
$55,848 交易量
24°C
<1%
25°C
5%
26°C
23%
27°C
37%
28°C
24%
29°C
9%
30°C
4%
31°C or higher
1%
27°C 37%
28°C 24%
26°C 23%
29°C 9%
$55,848 交易量
$55,848 交易量
24°C
<1%
25°C
5%
26°C
23%
27°C
37%
28°C
24%
29°C
9%
30°C
4%
31°C or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市場開放時間: Mar 25, 2026, 6:17 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 37.5% implied probability for Shenzhen's highest temperature reaching exactly 27°C on March 29, closely followed by 28°C (24%) and 26°C (23%), reflecting alignment with the latest forecast models from meteorological services like Metcheck, which project a daytime peak of 27–28°C under mostly sunny skies with light northeasterly winds. This positioning stems from a recent warm spell in late March, including a confirmed 29°C high on March 26 at Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport station—well above the typical 23–25°C monthly average—driven by persistent subtropical high pressure and seasonal warming trends. Model consensus highlights peak heating around midday, though sea breezes or patchy clouds could introduce uncertainty, potentially capping at 26°C or boosting to 28°C; final resolution awaits official hourly observations from the China Meteorological Administration.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
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