Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly backs a highest temperature of 29°C in Shenzhen on April 17, reflecting the latest China Meteorological Administration (CMA) forecasts projecting this exact peak amid expected thundershowers and cloudy conditions that suppress daytime heating. Recent observations show variability, with April 15 reaching 30°C under clearer skies and April 16 maxing at 29°C amid clouds, aligning with mid-April climatology where daily highs average 26–28°C per historical data from authoritative records. Model consensus from short-range numerical weather prediction supports limited intensification potential due to high humidity and precipitation risks. Realistic challenges include unexpected clearing allowing a late-afternoon spike to 30°C or higher, though hourly CMA updates through evening will confirm the official station measurement for resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於Highest temperature in Shenzhen on April 17?
Highest temperature in Shenzhen on April 17?
29°C 100.0%
22°C or below <1%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
$118,857 交易量
$118,857 交易量
22°C or below
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
Yes
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C or higher
No
29°C 100.0%
22°C or below <1%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
$118,857 交易量
$118,857 交易量
22°C or below
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
Yes
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市場開放時間: Apr 15, 2026, 12:38 AM ET
已提議結果: No
無爭議
最終結果: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
已提議結果: No
無爭議
最終結果: No
Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly backs a highest temperature of 29°C in Shenzhen on April 17, reflecting the latest China Meteorological Administration (CMA) forecasts projecting this exact peak amid expected thundershowers and cloudy conditions that suppress daytime heating. Recent observations show variability, with April 15 reaching 30°C under clearer skies and April 16 maxing at 29°C amid clouds, aligning with mid-April climatology where daily highs average 26–28°C per historical data from authoritative records. Model consensus from short-range numerical weather prediction supports limited intensification potential due to high humidity and precipitation risks. Realistic challenges include unexpected clearing allowing a late-afternoon spike to 30°C or higher, though hourly CMA updates through evening will confirm the official station measurement for resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
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