Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects a razor-thin contest between 27°C (48%) and 28°C (39.5%) for Shenzhen's highest temperature today, driven by China Meteorological Administration forecasts projecting a peak of 27°C amid partly cloudy skies and light southerly winds moderating daytime heating. Morning observations at Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport—the market's resolution station—show temperatures around 23°C with high humidity near 75%, limiting solar insolation and favoring the lower outcome; persistent cloud cover echoes early April climatology, where average highs hover at 26°C but urban heat island effects and variable sea breezes introduce 1°C uncertainty. New hourly data releases this afternoon could tip the balance as models diverge on afternoon clearing.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於Highest temperature in Shenzhen on April 1?
Highest temperature in Shenzhen on April 1?
27°C 46%
28°C 43%
29°C 8%
26°C 4.2%
$116,040 交易量
$116,040 交易量
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
1%
26°C
4%
27°C
46%
28°C
43%
29°C
8%
30°C
1%
31°C or higher
1%
27°C 46%
28°C 43%
29°C 8%
26°C 4.2%
$116,040 交易量
$116,040 交易量
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
1%
26°C
4%
27°C
46%
28°C
43%
29°C
8%
30°C
1%
31°C or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市場開放時間: Mar 29, 2026, 3:21 PM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects a razor-thin contest between 27°C (48%) and 28°C (39.5%) for Shenzhen's highest temperature today, driven by China Meteorological Administration forecasts projecting a peak of 27°C amid partly cloudy skies and light southerly winds moderating daytime heating. Morning observations at Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport—the market's resolution station—show temperatures around 23°C with high humidity near 75%, limiting solar insolation and favoring the lower outcome; persistent cloud cover echoes early April climatology, where average highs hover at 26°C but urban heat island effects and variable sea breezes introduce 1°C uncertainty. New hourly data releases this afternoon could tip the balance as models diverge on afternoon clearing.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions