Official observations from Shanghai's benchmark Xujiahui meteorological station, managed by the China Meteorological Administration, recorded a peak temperature of 18°C on April 15 amid persistent cloud cover and northerly winds that suppressed daytime heating, consistent with a recent cold frontal pattern affecting eastern China. Hourly data through late afternoon showed no exceedance, with model ensembles from ECMWF and GFS aligning post-event to validate this outcome against historical mid-April averages near 19°C. Trader consensus at 100% implied probability reflects this verified evidence, as the resolution window closes. Realistic challenges include minor data revisions from peripheral stations like Pudong or urban heat island effects in preliminary reports, though current trajectories make higher readings improbable. Final CMA daily summary expected within 24 hours.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於Highest temperature in Shanghai on April 15?
Highest temperature in Shanghai on April 15?
18°C 100.0%
10°C or below <1%
11°C <1%
12°C <1%
$252,947 交易量
$252,947 交易量
10°C or below
No
11°C
No
12°C
No
13°C
No
14°C
No
15°C
No
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C
Yes
19°C
No
20°C or higher
No
18°C 100.0%
10°C or below <1%
11°C <1%
12°C <1%
$252,947 交易量
$252,947 交易量
10°C or below
No
11°C
No
12°C
No
13°C
No
14°C
No
15°C
No
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C
Yes
19°C
No
20°C or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市場開放時間: Apr 13, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
已提議結果: No
無爭議
最終結果: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
已提議結果: No
無爭議
最終結果: No
Official observations from Shanghai's benchmark Xujiahui meteorological station, managed by the China Meteorological Administration, recorded a peak temperature of 18°C on April 15 amid persistent cloud cover and northerly winds that suppressed daytime heating, consistent with a recent cold frontal pattern affecting eastern China. Hourly data through late afternoon showed no exceedance, with model ensembles from ECMWF and GFS aligning post-event to validate this outcome against historical mid-April averages near 19°C. Trader consensus at 100% implied probability reflects this verified evidence, as the resolution window closes. Realistic challenges include minor data revisions from peripheral stations like Pudong or urban heat island effects in preliminary reports, though current trajectories make higher readings improbable. Final CMA daily summary expected within 24 hours.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions