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Highest temperature in Paris on March 28?

Market icon

Highest temperature in Paris on March 28?

Mar 28

Mar 29

Mar 28

Mar 29

11°C 54%

10°C 21%

12°C 15%

9°C 1.9%

Polymarket

$62,881 交易量

11°C 54%

10°C 21%

12°C 15%

9°C 1.9%

Polymarket

$62,881 交易量

8°C

$5,969 交易量

<1%

9°C

$5,790 交易量

2%

10°C

$7,757 交易量

21%

11°C

$8,138 交易量

54%

12°C

$7,646 交易量

15%

13°C

$4,484 交易量

1%

14°C

$3,856 交易量

<1%

15°C

$3,361 交易量

<1%

16°C

$3,051 交易量

<1%

17°C or higher

$4,134 交易量

<1%

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Charles de Gaulle Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Mar '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Charles de Gaulle Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/paris/LFPG. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Current observations from Météo-France's Paris-Montsouris station record 11°C mid-afternoon under persistent overcast skies and scattered showers, anchoring trader consensus at 53% implied probability for that as today's high temperature. Thick cloud cover limits solar insolation, while cool northerly airflow—evident in recent ECMWF and GFS ensemble model runs—suppresses further warming, clustering projections around 10-12°C. This aligns with late March climatological norms of 11.8°C average highs amid transitional spring patterns. Brief clearing remains possible for a 12°C peak (18% odds), but model consensus and diurnal timing favor stability; final hourly data through evening will resolve via official station measurements.

Current observations from Météo-France's Paris-Montsouris station record 11°C mid-afternoon under persistent overcast skies and scattered showers, anchoring trader consensus at 53% implied probability for that as today's high temperature. Thick cloud cover limits solar insolation, while cool northerly airflow—evident in recent ECMWF and GFS ensemble model runs—suppresses further warming, clustering projections around 10-12°C. This aligns with late March climatological norms of 11.8°C average highs amid transitional spring patterns. Brief clearing remains possible for a 12°C peak (18% odds), but model consensus and diurnal timing favor stability; final hourly data through evening will resolve via official station measurements.

基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Charles de Gaulle Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Mar '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Charles de Gaulle Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/paris/LFPG. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Current observations from Météo-France's Paris-Montsouris station record 11°C mid-afternoon under persistent overcast skies and scattered showers, anchoring trader consensus at 53% implied probability for that as today's high temperature. Thick cloud cover limits solar insolation, while cool northerly airflow—evident in recent ECMWF and GFS ensemble model runs—suppresses further warming, clustering projections around 10-12°C. This aligns with late March climatological norms of 11.8°C average highs amid transitional spring patterns. Brief clearing remains possible for a 12°C peak (18% odds), but model consensus and diurnal timing favor stability; final hourly data through evening will resolve via official station measurements.

Current observations from Météo-France's Paris-Montsouris station record 11°C mid-afternoon under persistent overcast skies and scattered showers, anchoring trader consensus at 53% implied probability for that as today's high temperature. Thick cloud cover limits solar insolation, while cool northerly airflow—evident in recent ECMWF and GFS ensemble model runs—suppresses further warming, clustering projections around 10-12°C. This aligns with late March climatological norms of 11.8°C average highs amid transitional spring patterns. Brief clearing remains possible for a 12°C peak (18% odds), but model consensus and diurnal timing favor stability; final hourly data through evening will resolve via official station measurements.

基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於

警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"Highest temperature in Paris on March 28?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 11 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "11°C" at 55%, followed by "10°C" at 21%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 55¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 55% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Highest temperature in Paris on March 28?" has generated $62.9K in total trading volume since the market launched on Mar 24, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Highest temperature in Paris on March 28?," browse the 11 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Highest temperature in Paris on March 28?" is "11°C" at 55%, meaning the market assigns a 55% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "10°C" at 21%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Highest temperature in Paris on March 28?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.