Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in 22°C as the highest temperature in Paris on April 15, 2026, at nearly 100% implied probability, driven by preliminary observations from the official Charles de Gaulle Airport (LFPG) station via Wunderground historical data—the market's resolution source. Hourly measurements confirmed a midday peak of 22°C under partly cloudy skies with light winds, warmer than the April climatological average of 16°C but restrained by persistent cloud cover and cooler air masses from the north, per Météo-France regional summaries. This aligns with forecast model consensus from ECMWF and GFS, which projected highs in the low 20s. Realistic challenges include rare post hoc data revisions uncovering a 23°C reading during quality control, though airport stations offer high reliability; final Wunderground data expected within 24 hours will solidify resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於4月15日巴黎最高溫度?
4月15日巴黎最高溫度?
22°C 100.0%
23°C <1%
18°C <1%
14°C或以下 <1%
$590,527 交易量
$590,527 交易量
14°C或以下
否
15°C
否
16°C
否
17°C
否
18°C
否
19°C
否
20°C
否
21°C
否
22°C
是
23°C
否
24°C或以上
否
22°C 100.0%
23°C <1%
18°C <1%
14°C或以下 <1%
$590,527 交易量
$590,527 交易量
14°C或以下
否
15°C
否
16°C
否
17°C
否
18°C
否
19°C
否
20°C
否
21°C
否
22°C
是
23°C
否
24°C或以上
否
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Charles de Gaulle Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/paris/LFPG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市場開放時間: Apr 13, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Charles de Gaulle Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/paris/LFPG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in 22°C as the highest temperature in Paris on April 15, 2026, at nearly 100% implied probability, driven by preliminary observations from the official Charles de Gaulle Airport (LFPG) station via Wunderground historical data—the market's resolution source. Hourly measurements confirmed a midday peak of 22°C under partly cloudy skies with light winds, warmer than the April climatological average of 16°C but restrained by persistent cloud cover and cooler air masses from the north, per Météo-France regional summaries. This aligns with forecast model consensus from ECMWF and GFS, which projected highs in the low 20s. Realistic challenges include rare post hoc data revisions uncovering a 23°C reading during quality control, though airport stations offer high reliability; final Wunderground data expected within 24 hours will solidify resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions