Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns 100% implied probability to a highest temperature of 48-49°F in New York City on April 9, driven by official observations from the LaGuardia Airport station (KLGA), the market's designated reference point per Weather Underground data. Hourly readings confirmed a peak in this range amid persistent overcast skies, cool northerly winds, and a shallow marine layer that suppressed daytime heating, aligning with National Weather Service summaries showing no exceedance. This outcome falls below the April climatological average high of around 58°F at nearby Central Park, reflecting short-term synoptic patterns favoring chillier conditions. Realistic challenges are minimal post-observation—only a rare data revision by NOAA or NWS could alter resolution, though such corrections are exceedingly uncommon after preliminary CLI reports. Traders await final market settlement, typically within 24-48 hours of event close.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於Highest temperature in NYC on April 9?
Highest temperature in NYC on April 9?
48-49°F 100.0%
45°F or below <1%
46-47°F <1%
50-51°F <1%
$259,696 交易量
$259,696 交易量
45°F or below
No
46-47°F
No
48-49°F
Yes
50-51°F
No
52-53°F
No
54-55°F
No
56-57°F
No
58-59°F
No
60-61°F
No
62-63°F
No
64°F or higher
No
48-49°F 100.0%
45°F or below <1%
46-47°F <1%
50-51°F <1%
$259,696 交易量
$259,696 交易量
45°F or below
No
46-47°F
No
48-49°F
Yes
50-51°F
No
52-53°F
No
54-55°F
No
56-57°F
No
58-59°F
No
60-61°F
No
62-63°F
No
64°F or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市場開放時間: Apr 5, 2026, 12:08 AM ET
已提議結果: No
無爭議
最終結果: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
已提議結果: No
無爭議
最終結果: No
Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns 100% implied probability to a highest temperature of 48-49°F in New York City on April 9, driven by official observations from the LaGuardia Airport station (KLGA), the market's designated reference point per Weather Underground data. Hourly readings confirmed a peak in this range amid persistent overcast skies, cool northerly winds, and a shallow marine layer that suppressed daytime heating, aligning with National Weather Service summaries showing no exceedance. This outcome falls below the April climatological average high of around 58°F at nearby Central Park, reflecting short-term synoptic patterns favoring chillier conditions. Realistic challenges are minimal post-observation—only a rare data revision by NOAA or NWS could alter resolution, though such corrections are exceedingly uncommon after preliminary CLI reports. Traders await final market settlement, typically within 24-48 hours of event close.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions