Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly favors 78-79°F (100%) for New York City's highest temperature on April 13, 2026, backed by the National Weather Service's official daily climatological report from Central Park's Belvedere Castle observatory, which recorded a maximum of 78°F at 2:39 p.m. amid partly sunny skies. This outcome reflects unseasonably warm conditions driven by a persistent high-pressure ridge fostering southerly winds and warm air advection, pushing well above the mid-April climatological normal of 61°F—though short of the record 90°F set in 2023. Scenarios challenging this would require rare post-preliminary data revisions by NWS, such as sensor recalibrations, but verified observations render such shifts improbable as the market nears resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於紐約市4月13日的最高溫度?
紐約市4月13日的最高溫度?
78-79°F 100.0%
61°F或以下 <1%
62-63°F <1%
64-65°F <1%
$493,712 交易量
$493,712 交易量
61°F或以下
否
62-63°F
否
64-65°F
否
66-67°F
否
68-69°F
否
70-71°F
否
72-73°F
否
74-75°F
否
76-77°F
否
78-79°F
是
80°F或更高
否
78-79°F 100.0%
61°F或以下 <1%
62-63°F <1%
64-65°F <1%
$493,712 交易量
$493,712 交易量
61°F或以下
否
62-63°F
否
64-65°F
否
66-67°F
否
68-69°F
否
70-71°F
否
72-73°F
否
74-75°F
否
76-77°F
否
78-79°F
是
80°F或更高
否
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市場開放時間: Apr 9, 2026, 12:08 AM ET
已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly favors 78-79°F (100%) for New York City's highest temperature on April 13, 2026, backed by the National Weather Service's official daily climatological report from Central Park's Belvedere Castle observatory, which recorded a maximum of 78°F at 2:39 p.m. amid partly sunny skies. This outcome reflects unseasonably warm conditions driven by a persistent high-pressure ridge fostering southerly winds and warm air advection, pushing well above the mid-April climatological normal of 61°F—though short of the record 90°F set in 2023. Scenarios challenging this would require rare post-preliminary data revisions by NWS, such as sensor recalibrations, but verified observations render such shifts improbable as the market nears resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions