The National Weather Service's latest forecast for Central Park projects a high near 76°F on April 1 under partly sunny skies—a sharp deviation from the 55°F climatological normal—bolstering trader consensus for the 76-77°F outcome at 34.5% implied probability, closely trailed by 74-75°F at 28.5%. This positioning reflects GFS and ECMWF ensemble model agreement on southerly winds advecting a warm air mass amid a building upper-level ridge, though minor differences in peak afternoon heating, cloud cover variability, and urban effects create uncertainty splitting the top bins. With the market near resolution, intraday observations and NWS updates this afternoon will clarify the precise peak against the two-degree thresholds.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於Highest temperature in NYC on April 1?
Highest temperature in NYC on April 1?
76-77°F 34%
74-75°F 29%
72-73°F 14.8%
78-79°F 8%
$64,582 交易量
$64,582 交易量
2026-04-01
69°F or below
1%
70-71°F
1%
72-73°F
15%
74-75°F
29%
76-77°F
34%
78-79°F
8%
80-81°F
3%
82-83°F
3%
84-85°F
1%
86-87°F
1%
88°F or higher
1%
76-77°F 34%
74-75°F 29%
72-73°F 14.8%
78-79°F 8%
$64,582 交易量
$64,582 交易量
2026-04-01
69°F or below
$9,685 交易量
1%
70-71°F
$6,159 交易量
1%
72-73°F
$6,992 交易量
15%
74-75°F
$6,961 交易量
29%
76-77°F
$4,572 交易量
34%
78-79°F
$5,930 交易量
8%
80-81°F
$5,556 交易量
3%
82-83°F
$4,831 交易量
3%
84-85°F
$4,426 交易量
1%
86-87°F
$3,972 交易量
1%
88°F or higher
$5,557 交易量
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 1 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.The National Weather Service's latest forecast for Central Park projects a high near 76°F on April 1 under partly sunny skies—a sharp deviation from the 55°F climatological normal—bolstering trader consensus for the 76-77°F outcome at 34.5% implied probability, closely trailed by 74-75°F at 28.5%. This positioning reflects GFS and ECMWF ensemble model agreement on southerly winds advecting a warm air mass amid a building upper-level ridge, though minor differences in peak afternoon heating, cloud cover variability, and urban effects create uncertainty splitting the top bins. With the market near resolution, intraday observations and NWS updates this afternoon will clarify the precise peak against the two-degree thresholds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 1 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市場開放時間： Mar 29, 2026, 2:37 PM ET
交易量
$64,582結束日期
2026-04-01市場開放時間
Mar 29, 2026, 2:37 PM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 1 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.The National Weather Service's latest forecast for Central Park projects a high near 76°F on April 1 under partly sunny skies—a sharp deviation from the 55°F climatological normal—bolstering trader consensus for the 76-77°F outcome at 34.5% implied probability, closely trailed by 74-75°F at 28.5%. This positioning reflects GFS and ECMWF ensemble model agreement on southerly winds advecting a warm air mass amid a building upper-level ridge, though minor differences in peak afternoon heating, cloud cover variability, and urban effects create uncertainty splitting the top bins. With the market near resolution, intraday observations and NWS updates this afternoon will clarify the precise peak against the two-degree thresholds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 1 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$64,582結束日期
2026-04-01市場開放時間
Mar 29, 2026, 2:37 PM ETThe National Weather Service's latest forecast for Central Park projects a high near 76°F on April 1 under partly sunny skies—a sharp deviation from the 55°F climatological normal—bolstering trader consensus for the 76-77°F outcome at 34.5% implied probability, closely trailed by 74-75°F at 28.5%. This positioning reflects GFS and ECMWF ensemble model agreement on southerly winds advecting a warm air mass amid a building upper-level ridge, though minor differences in peak afternoon heating, cloud cover variability, and urban effects create uncertainty splitting the top bins. With the market near resolution, intraday observations and NWS updates this afternoon will clarify the precise peak against the two-degree thresholds.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
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