Official observations from the German Weather Service (Deutscher Wetterdienst, DWD) confirm Munich's highest temperature on April 12 reached exactly 11°C at primary stations like Munich Airport and city center sites, aligning with trader consensus at 100% market-implied probability. Cool northerly winds and cloudy conditions suppressed warming, consistent with recent ECMWF model outputs forecasting daytime highs in the 10-12°C range amid a broader spring pattern of below-average temperatures influenced by persistent Atlantic low-pressure systems. This positioning reflects verified hourly data logs, with no higher readings reported. Realistic challenges would require a data revision from an overlooked peripheral station exceeding 11°C, though DWD's multi-site validation process makes this improbable; final archives expected within days.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於Highest temperature in Munich on April 12?
Highest temperature in Munich on April 12?
11°C 100.0%
5°C or below <1%
6°C <1%
7°C <1%
$197,444 交易量
$197,444 交易量
5°C or below
No
6°C
No
7°C
No
8°C
No
9°C
No
10°C
No
11°C
Yes
12°C
No
13°C
No
14°C
No
15°C or higher
No
11°C 100.0%
5°C or below <1%
6°C <1%
7°C <1%
$197,444 交易量
$197,444 交易量
5°C or below
No
6°C
No
7°C
No
8°C
No
9°C
No
10°C
No
11°C
Yes
12°C
No
13°C
No
14°C
No
15°C or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Munich Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市場開放時間: Apr 8, 2026, 12:09 AM ET
已提議結果: No
無爭議
最終結果: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Munich Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
已提議結果: No
無爭議
最終結果: No
Official observations from the German Weather Service (Deutscher Wetterdienst, DWD) confirm Munich's highest temperature on April 12 reached exactly 11°C at primary stations like Munich Airport and city center sites, aligning with trader consensus at 100% market-implied probability. Cool northerly winds and cloudy conditions suppressed warming, consistent with recent ECMWF model outputs forecasting daytime highs in the 10-12°C range amid a broader spring pattern of below-average temperatures influenced by persistent Atlantic low-pressure systems. This positioning reflects verified hourly data logs, with no higher readings reported. Realistic challenges would require a data revision from an overlooked peripheral station exceeding 11°C, though DWD's multi-site validation process makes this improbable; final archives expected within days.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
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