Official observational data from the Milan Malpensa International Airport weather station—the market's designated resolution source—recorded a maximum temperature of 16°C on March 27, underpinning the trader consensus at 100% implied probability for this outcome. This measurement aligns with preliminary readings from multiple regional monitoring sites managed by Italian meteorological authorities, amid mostly cloudy skies, moderate northerly winds, and seasonal March norms for Lombardy, where average highs hover around 13–14°C. Strong capital allocation reflects confidence in the automated station's accuracy, with cross-verifications minimizing discrepancies. Realistic challenges include rare post hoc data revisions from quality control processes, though such adjustments occur infrequently and typically involve minor tweaks within 1–2°C. No further forecast updates are pending as the event has concluded.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於Highest temperature in Milan on March 27?
Highest temperature in Milan on March 27?
16°C 100.0%
8°C or below <1%
9°C <1%
10°C <1%
$86,654 交易量
$86,654 交易量
8°C or below
No
9°C
No
10°C
No
11°C
No
12°C
No
13°C
No
14°C
No
15°C
No
16°C
Yes
17°C
No
18°C or higher
No
16°C 100.0%
8°C or below <1%
9°C <1%
10°C <1%
$86,654 交易量
$86,654 交易量
8°C or below
No
9°C
No
10°C
No
11°C
No
12°C
No
13°C
No
14°C
No
15°C
No
16°C
Yes
17°C
No
18°C or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市場開放時間: Mar 23, 2026, 6:03 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMCResolver
0x69c47De9D...已提議結果: No
無爭議
最終結果: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMCResolver
0x69c47De9D...已提議結果: No
無爭議
最終結果: No
Official observational data from the Milan Malpensa International Airport weather station—the market's designated resolution source—recorded a maximum temperature of 16°C on March 27, underpinning the trader consensus at 100% implied probability for this outcome. This measurement aligns with preliminary readings from multiple regional monitoring sites managed by Italian meteorological authorities, amid mostly cloudy skies, moderate northerly winds, and seasonal March norms for Lombardy, where average highs hover around 13–14°C. Strong capital allocation reflects confidence in the automated station's accuracy, with cross-verifications minimizing discrepancies. Realistic challenges include rare post hoc data revisions from quality control processes, though such adjustments occur infrequently and typically involve minor tweaks within 1–2°C. No further forecast updates are pending as the event has concluded.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions