National Weather Service forecasts and high-resolution model consensus, including HRRR and GFS ensembles, project a peak temperature of 84-85°F at Miami International Airport (KMIA) today, driving the 99.9% market-implied probability for this bin as traders weigh observational data showing morning lows near 75°F under partly sunny skies and east winds of 5-10 mph. This aligns with April climatological normals of 84°F and current atmospheric conditions featuring moderate humidity and sea breeze influences limiting further intensification. Realistic challenges include prolonged clear skies boosting solar insolation beyond expectations, potentially edging into 86-87°F, though enhanced coastal cooling and any afternoon clouds would reinforce the consensus; monitor hourly ASOS updates through peak heating around 2-4 PM EDT for final confirmation.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於4月18日邁阿密的最高溫度?
4月18日邁阿密的最高溫度?
84-85°F 99.8%
86-87°F <1%
88-89°F <1%
90-91°F <1%
$77,048 交易量
$77,048 交易量
84-85°F
100%
86-87°F
<1%
88-89°F
<1%
90-91°F
<1%
92°F or higher
<1%
84-85°F 99.8%
86-87°F <1%
88-89°F <1%
90-91°F <1%
$77,048 交易量
$77,048 交易量
84-85°F
100%
86-87°F
<1%
88-89°F
<1%
90-91°F
<1%
92°F or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市場開放時間: Apr 16, 2026, 12:26 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
National Weather Service forecasts and high-resolution model consensus, including HRRR and GFS ensembles, project a peak temperature of 84-85°F at Miami International Airport (KMIA) today, driving the 99.9% market-implied probability for this bin as traders weigh observational data showing morning lows near 75°F under partly sunny skies and east winds of 5-10 mph. This aligns with April climatological normals of 84°F and current atmospheric conditions featuring moderate humidity and sea breeze influences limiting further intensification. Realistic challenges include prolonged clear skies boosting solar insolation beyond expectations, potentially edging into 86-87°F, though enhanced coastal cooling and any afternoon clouds would reinforce the consensus; monitor hourly ASOS updates through peak heating around 2-4 PM EDT for final confirmation.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions