National Weather Service forecast guidance has solidified trader consensus around an 80-81°F high temperature in Miami today at 52.5% implied probability, with 78-79°F trailing at 33%, reflecting model consensus from recent GFS and ECMWF runs showing partly cloudy skies, light onshore easterly winds around 10 knots, and a dominant high-pressure ridge capping convective heating. Morning observations at Miami International Airport indicate steady warming from overnight lows near 73°F under low humidity, aligning with seasonal April norms of 81-82°F but tempered by marine influences. Inherent forecast uncertainty persists from potential sea-breeze enhancements or isolated showers, with intraday NWS updates and peak afternoon readings critical for resolution into these tight 2°F bins.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於Highest temperature in Miami on April 1?
Highest temperature in Miami on April 1?
80-81°F 50%
78-79°F 34%
82-83°F 13%
84-85°F 5.4%
$131,062 交易量
$131,062 交易量
2026-04-01
華氏73度或以下
<1%
74-75°F
1%
76-77°F
5%
78-79°F
34%
80-81°F
50%
82-83°F
13%
84-85°F
5%
86-87°F
2%
88-89°F
<1%
華氏90-91度
<1%
92°F or higher
<1%
80-81°F 50%
78-79°F 34%
82-83°F 13%
84-85°F 5.4%
$131,062 交易量
$131,062 交易量
2026-04-01
華氏73度或以下
$25,436 交易量
<1%
74-75°F
$10,300 交易量
1%
76-77°F
$15,069 交易量
5%
78-79°F
$9,242 交易量
34%
80-81°F
$9,418 交易量
50%
82-83°F
$10,796 交易量
13%
84-85°F
$8,855 交易量
5%
86-87°F
$6,148 交易量
2%
88-89°F
$7,008 交易量
<1%
華氏90-91度
$8,139 交易量
<1%
92°F or higher
$20,731 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 1 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.National Weather Service forecast guidance has solidified trader consensus around an 80-81°F high temperature in Miami today at 52.5% implied probability, with 78-79°F trailing at 33%, reflecting model consensus from recent GFS and ECMWF runs showing partly cloudy skies, light onshore easterly winds around 10 knots, and a dominant high-pressure ridge capping convective heating. Morning observations at Miami International Airport indicate steady warming from overnight lows near 73°F under low humidity, aligning with seasonal April norms of 81-82°F but tempered by marine influences. Inherent forecast uncertainty persists from potential sea-breeze enhancements or isolated showers, with intraday NWS updates and peak afternoon readings critical for resolution into these tight 2°F bins.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 1 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市場開放時間： Mar 28, 2026, 6:08 AM ET
交易量
$131,062結束日期
2026-04-01市場開放時間
Mar 28, 2026, 6:08 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 1 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.National Weather Service forecast guidance has solidified trader consensus around an 80-81°F high temperature in Miami today at 52.5% implied probability, with 78-79°F trailing at 33%, reflecting model consensus from recent GFS and ECMWF runs showing partly cloudy skies, light onshore easterly winds around 10 knots, and a dominant high-pressure ridge capping convective heating. Morning observations at Miami International Airport indicate steady warming from overnight lows near 73°F under low humidity, aligning with seasonal April norms of 81-82°F but tempered by marine influences. Inherent forecast uncertainty persists from potential sea-breeze enhancements or isolated showers, with intraday NWS updates and peak afternoon readings critical for resolution into these tight 2°F bins.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 1 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$131,062結束日期
2026-04-01市場開放時間
Mar 28, 2026, 6:08 AM ETNational Weather Service forecast guidance has solidified trader consensus around an 80-81°F high temperature in Miami today at 52.5% implied probability, with 78-79°F trailing at 33%, reflecting model consensus from recent GFS and ECMWF runs showing partly cloudy skies, light onshore easterly winds around 10 knots, and a dominant high-pressure ridge capping convective heating. Morning observations at Miami International Airport indicate steady warming from overnight lows near 73°F under low humidity, aligning with seasonal April norms of 81-82°F but tempered by marine influences. Inherent forecast uncertainty persists from potential sea-breeze enhancements or isolated showers, with intraday NWS updates and peak afternoon readings critical for resolution into these tight 2°F bins.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
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