Trader consensus assigns a 100% implied probability to 38°C as Lucknow's highest temperature on April 14, driven by observational data from the Chaudhary Charan Singh International Airport station (VILK)—the market's resolution source via Weather Underground—recording a peak of 38°C amid persistent clear skies, haze, and low humidity characteristic of mid-April pre-monsoon conditions. This matches India Meteorological Department (IMD) guidance forecasting 38–39°C after yesterday's 38.1°C maximum (near-normal departure), aligning with historical April averages of 37.7°C under subsiding high-pressure ridges suppressing cloud cover and favoring daytime heating. Scenarios challenging this include rare post-preliminary data revisions from additional hourly logs or localized urban heat island amplification, though evening temperatures dropping to 29°C signal the peak has passed without higher readings.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於Highest temperature in Lucknow on April 14?
Highest temperature in Lucknow on April 14?
38°C 100.0%
35°C or below <1%
36°C <1%
37°C <1%
$99,010 交易量
$99,010 交易量
35°C or below
No
36°C
No
37°C
No
38°C
Yes
39°C
No
40°C
No
41°C
No
42°C
No
43°C
No
44°C
No
45°C or higher
No
38°C 100.0%
35°C or below <1%
36°C <1%
37°C <1%
$99,010 交易量
$99,010 交易量
35°C or below
No
36°C
No
37°C
No
38°C
Yes
39°C
No
40°C
No
41°C
No
42°C
No
43°C
No
44°C
No
45°C or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市場開放時間: Apr 12, 2026, 12:15 AM ET
已提議結果: No
無爭議
最終結果: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
已提議結果: No
無爭議
最終結果: No
Trader consensus assigns a 100% implied probability to 38°C as Lucknow's highest temperature on April 14, driven by observational data from the Chaudhary Charan Singh International Airport station (VILK)—the market's resolution source via Weather Underground—recording a peak of 38°C amid persistent clear skies, haze, and low humidity characteristic of mid-April pre-monsoon conditions. This matches India Meteorological Department (IMD) guidance forecasting 38–39°C after yesterday's 38.1°C maximum (near-normal departure), aligning with historical April averages of 37.7°C under subsiding high-pressure ridges suppressing cloud cover and favoring daytime heating. Scenarios challenging this include rare post-preliminary data revisions from additional hourly logs or localized urban heat island amplification, though evening temperatures dropping to 29°C signal the peak has passed without higher readings.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions