Trader consensus has locked in 100% implied probability on 78-79°F as Houston's highest temperature on April 8, driven by official observational data from the National Weather Service's automated station at William P. Hobby Airport (KHOU), the market's resolution source via Weather Underground. Preliminary daily climatological reports confirm the peak fell squarely in this bin amid partly cloudy skies, easterly winds, and elevated humidity from Gulf moisture, which capped daytime heating below initial forecasts near 80°F. This outcome aligns with NOAA model guidance and April climatology, where average highs hover around 79°F under neutral ENSO conditions. Realistic challenges are minimal—only a rare NWS data audit or instrument recalibration uncovering an overlooked peak could alter it, with final verification expected in the monthly summary later this month.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於Highest temperature in Houston on April 8?
Highest temperature in Houston on April 8?
78-79°F 100.0%
67°F or below <1%
68-69°F <1%
70-71°F <1%
$69,553 交易量
$69,553 交易量
67°F or below
No
68-69°F
No
70-71°F
No
72-73°F
No
74-75°F
No
76-77°F
No
78-79°F
Yes
80-81°F
No
82-83°F
No
84-85°F
No
86°F or higher
No
78-79°F 100.0%
67°F or below <1%
68-69°F <1%
70-71°F <1%
$69,553 交易量
$69,553 交易量
67°F or below
No
68-69°F
No
70-71°F
No
72-73°F
No
74-75°F
No
76-77°F
No
78-79°F
Yes
80-81°F
No
82-83°F
No
84-85°F
No
86°F or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the William P. Hobby Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市場開放時間: Apr 4, 2026, 12:15 AM ET
已提議結果: No
無爭議
最終結果: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the William P. Hobby Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
已提議結果: No
無爭議
最終結果: No
Trader consensus has locked in 100% implied probability on 78-79°F as Houston's highest temperature on April 8, driven by official observational data from the National Weather Service's automated station at William P. Hobby Airport (KHOU), the market's resolution source via Weather Underground. Preliminary daily climatological reports confirm the peak fell squarely in this bin amid partly cloudy skies, easterly winds, and elevated humidity from Gulf moisture, which capped daytime heating below initial forecasts near 80°F. This outcome aligns with NOAA model guidance and April climatology, where average highs hover around 79°F under neutral ENSO conditions. Realistic challenges are minimal—only a rare NWS data audit or instrument recalibration uncovering an overlooked peak could alter it, with final verification expected in the monthly summary later this month.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions