National Weather Service guidance and ensemble forecasts from GFS and ECMWF models project Chicago's highest temperature on March 29 clustering around 62°F under partly sunny skies and southwesterly winds of 10-15 mph advecting a warmer air mass, yielding a 28% implied probability for 62-63°F while 64-65°F trails at 18.5% amid 2-3°F uncertainty from variable high cloud cover and peak afternoon heating. This exceeds the late-March climatological normal of 52°F during a neutral-to-weak La Niña pattern favoring occasional warm surges. Trader sentiment reflects model consensus from the past 24 hours showing tight spreads in the low 60s, with lower odds for cooler ranges due to minimal cold air influence. Watch tonight's 00z model runs and morning NWS forecast discussion for potential refinements to boundary layer mixing and insolation.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於Highest temperature in Chicago on March 29?
Highest temperature in Chicago on March 29?
62-63°F 27%
64-65°F 19%
60-61°F 16%
58-59°F 14%
$39,887 交易量
$39,887 交易量
華氏53度或以下
<1%
54-55°F
1%
56-57°F
5%
58-59°F
14%
60-61°F
16%
62-63°F
27%
64-65°F
19%
66-67°F
10%
68-69°F
5%
70-71°F
2%
72°F or higher
2%
62-63°F 27%
64-65°F 19%
60-61°F 16%
58-59°F 14%
$39,887 交易量
$39,887 交易量
華氏53度或以下
<1%
54-55°F
1%
56-57°F
5%
58-59°F
14%
60-61°F
16%
62-63°F
27%
64-65°F
19%
66-67°F
10%
68-69°F
5%
70-71°F
2%
72°F or higher
2%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市場開放時間: Mar 25, 2026, 6:02 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORDResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORDResolver
0x69c47De9D...National Weather Service guidance and ensemble forecasts from GFS and ECMWF models project Chicago's highest temperature on March 29 clustering around 62°F under partly sunny skies and southwesterly winds of 10-15 mph advecting a warmer air mass, yielding a 28% implied probability for 62-63°F while 64-65°F trails at 18.5% amid 2-3°F uncertainty from variable high cloud cover and peak afternoon heating. This exceeds the late-March climatological normal of 52°F during a neutral-to-weak La Niña pattern favoring occasional warm surges. Trader sentiment reflects model consensus from the past 24 hours showing tight spreads in the low 60s, with lower odds for cooler ranges due to minimal cold air influence. Watch tonight's 00z model runs and morning NWS forecast discussion for potential refinements to boundary layer mixing and insolation.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
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