Trader consensus on Polymarket prices the highest temperature at Chicago's O'Hare International Airport on March 29 in the tight 60-65°F range, with 62-63°F leading at 24.5% implied probability, reflecting close alignment in the latest National Weather Service guidance and ensemble forecasts from GFS and ECMWF models. This above-normal outlook (versus 48°F climatological average) stems from a persistent upper-level ridge ushering southwesterly flow and mild air masses into the Midwest amid a neutral-to-weak La Niña pattern, following recent warm spells like 70s on March 25. Differentiating factors include subtle model spreads on afternoon boundary-layer mixing, potential convective cloud debris from upstream thunderstorms, and wind speeds—full insolation could push toward 64-65°F, while increased cloudiness caps at 60-61°F. Watch today's 12z model runs and NWS forecast discussion for refinements ahead of resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於Highest temperature in Chicago on March 29?
Highest temperature in Chicago on March 29?
62-63°F 26%
64-65°F 20%
60-61°F 16%
58-59°F 11%
$42,218 交易量
$42,218 交易量
華氏53度或以下
<1%
54-55°F
1%
56-57°F
6%
58-59°F
11%
60-61°F
16%
62-63°F
26%
64-65°F
20%
66-67°F
11%
68-69°F
6%
70-71°F
2%
72°F or higher
2%
62-63°F 26%
64-65°F 20%
60-61°F 16%
58-59°F 11%
$42,218 交易量
$42,218 交易量
華氏53度或以下
<1%
54-55°F
1%
56-57°F
6%
58-59°F
11%
60-61°F
16%
62-63°F
26%
64-65°F
20%
66-67°F
11%
68-69°F
6%
70-71°F
2%
72°F or higher
2%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市場開放時間: Mar 25, 2026, 6:02 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORDResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket prices the highest temperature at Chicago's O'Hare International Airport on March 29 in the tight 60-65°F range, with 62-63°F leading at 24.5% implied probability, reflecting close alignment in the latest National Weather Service guidance and ensemble forecasts from GFS and ECMWF models. This above-normal outlook (versus 48°F climatological average) stems from a persistent upper-level ridge ushering southwesterly flow and mild air masses into the Midwest amid a neutral-to-weak La Niña pattern, following recent warm spells like 70s on March 25. Differentiating factors include subtle model spreads on afternoon boundary-layer mixing, potential convective cloud debris from upstream thunderstorms, and wind speeds—full insolation could push toward 64-65°F, while increased cloudiness caps at 60-61°F. Watch today's 12z model runs and NWS forecast discussion for refinements ahead of resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
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