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Highest temperature in Chicago on March 29?

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Highest temperature in Chicago on March 29?

62-63°F 26%

64-65°F 20%

60-61°F 16%

58-59°F 11%

Polymarket

$42,218 交易量

62-63°F 26%

64-65°F 20%

60-61°F 16%

58-59°F 11%

Polymarket

$42,218 交易量

華氏53度或以下

$6,229 交易量

<1%

54-55°F

$3,312 交易量

1%

56-57°F

$4,454 交易量

6%

58-59°F

$2,845 交易量

11%

60-61°F

$2,746 交易量

16%

62-63°F

$2,492 交易量

26%

64-65°F

$2,919 交易量

20%

66-67°F

$3,431 交易量

11%

68-69°F

$2,998 交易量

6%

70-71°F

$3,250 交易量

2%

72°F or higher

$7,654 交易量

2%

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 29 Mar '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices the highest temperature at Chicago's O'Hare International Airport on March 29 in the tight 60-65°F range, with 62-63°F leading at 24.5% implied probability, reflecting close alignment in the latest National Weather Service guidance and ensemble forecasts from GFS and ECMWF models. This above-normal outlook (versus 48°F climatological average) stems from a persistent upper-level ridge ushering southwesterly flow and mild air masses into the Midwest amid a neutral-to-weak La Niña pattern, following recent warm spells like 70s on March 25. Differentiating factors include subtle model spreads on afternoon boundary-layer mixing, potential convective cloud debris from upstream thunderstorms, and wind speeds—full insolation could push toward 64-65°F, while increased cloudiness caps at 60-61°F. Watch today's 12z model runs and NWS forecast discussion for refinements ahead of resolution.

Trader consensus on Polymarket prices the highest temperature at Chicago's O'Hare International Airport on March 29 in the tight 60-65°F range, with 62-63°F leading at 24.5% implied probability, reflecting close alignment in the latest National Weather Service guidance and ensemble forecasts from GFS and ECMWF models. This above-normal outlook (versus 48°F climatological average) stems from a persistent upper-level ridge ushering southwesterly flow and mild air masses into the Midwest amid a neutral-to-weak La Niña pattern, following recent warm spells like 70s on March 25. Differentiating factors include subtle model spreads on afternoon boundary-layer mixing, potential convective cloud debris from upstream thunderstorms, and wind speeds—full insolation could push toward 64-65°F, while increased cloudiness caps at 60-61°F. Watch today's 12z model runs and NWS forecast discussion for refinements ahead of resolution.

基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 29 Mar '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices the highest temperature at Chicago's O'Hare International Airport on March 29 in the tight 60-65°F range, with 62-63°F leading at 24.5% implied probability, reflecting close alignment in the latest National Weather Service guidance and ensemble forecasts from GFS and ECMWF models. This above-normal outlook (versus 48°F climatological average) stems from a persistent upper-level ridge ushering southwesterly flow and mild air masses into the Midwest amid a neutral-to-weak La Niña pattern, following recent warm spells like 70s on March 25. Differentiating factors include subtle model spreads on afternoon boundary-layer mixing, potential convective cloud debris from upstream thunderstorms, and wind speeds—full insolation could push toward 64-65°F, while increased cloudiness caps at 60-61°F. Watch today's 12z model runs and NWS forecast discussion for refinements ahead of resolution.

Trader consensus on Polymarket prices the highest temperature at Chicago's O'Hare International Airport on March 29 in the tight 60-65°F range, with 62-63°F leading at 24.5% implied probability, reflecting close alignment in the latest National Weather Service guidance and ensemble forecasts from GFS and ECMWF models. This above-normal outlook (versus 48°F climatological average) stems from a persistent upper-level ridge ushering southwesterly flow and mild air masses into the Midwest amid a neutral-to-weak La Niña pattern, following recent warm spells like 70s on March 25. Differentiating factors include subtle model spreads on afternoon boundary-layer mixing, potential convective cloud debris from upstream thunderstorms, and wind speeds—full insolation could push toward 64-65°F, while increased cloudiness caps at 60-61°F. Watch today's 12z model runs and NWS forecast discussion for refinements ahead of resolution.

基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於

警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"Highest temperature in Chicago on March 29?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 11 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "62-63°F" at 26%, followed by "64-65°F" at 20%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 26¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 26% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Highest temperature in Chicago on March 29?" has generated $42.2K in total trading volume since the market launched on Mar 25, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Highest temperature in Chicago on March 29?," browse the 11 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Highest temperature in Chicago on March 29?" is "62-63°F" at 26%, meaning the market assigns a 26% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "64-65°F" at 20%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Highest temperature in Chicago on March 29?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.