芝加哥3月23日的最高溫度？

Name: 芝加哥3月23日的最高溫度？
Start: 2026-03-19T10:08:35.548Z
End: 2026-03-23T12:00:00.000Z

芝加哥3月23日的最高溫度？

Mar 21

Mar 22

Mar 23

Mar 24

Mar 21

Mar 22

Mar 23

Mar 24

42-43°F 28%

44-45°F 24%

40-41°F 17%

46-47°F 16.5%

$16,388 交易量

Mar 23, 2026

華氏35度或以下

$2,555 交易量

36-37°F

$2,021 交易量

38-39°F

$2,511 交易量

40-41°F

$2,019 交易量

17%

42-43°F

$1,004 交易量

28%

44-45°F

$772 交易量

24%

46-47°F

$949 交易量

16%

48-49°F

$801 交易量

50-51°F

$638 交易量

52-53°F

$922 交易量

54°F或更高

$2,196 交易量

42-43°F 28%

44-45°F 24%

40-41°F 17%

46-47°F 16.5%

$16,388 交易量

Mar 23, 2026

華氏35度或以下

$2,555 交易量

36-37°F

$2,021 交易量

38-39°F

$2,511 交易量

40-41°F

$2,019 交易量

17%

42-43°F

$1,004 交易量

28%

44-45°F

$772 交易量

24%

46-47°F

$949 交易量

16%

48-49°F

$801 交易量

50-51°F

$638 交易量

52-53°F

$922 交易量

54°F或更高

$2,196 交易量

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 23 Mar '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.

Latest ensemble forecasts from NOAA's GFS and ECMWF models drive trader consensus toward Chicago's highest temperature on March 23 falling in the 42-45°F range, with 42-43°F edging ahead at 28% implied probability amid a narrow spread. A lingering upper-level trough over the Midwest ushers cooler Canadian air, capping highs below seasonal norms (historical March 23 average ~45°F), while subtle differences in simulated cloud cover and boundary layer mixing differentiate outcomes—drier clears could nudge toward 44-45°F (25%), per recent 00Z runs. National Weather Service point forecasts align near 43°F, but short-term model divergences and potential diurnal timing shifts keep 46-47°F viable at 17%, underscoring typical late-winter forecast uncertainty.

基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於 Mar 21, 2026, 11:46 PM UTC

警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"芝加哥3月23日的最高溫度？" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 11 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "42-43°F" at 28%, followed by "44-45°F" at 24%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 28¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 28% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "芝加哥3月23日的最高溫度？" has generated $16.4K in total trading volume since the market launched on Mar 19, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "芝加哥3月23日的最高溫度？," browse the 11 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "芝加哥3月23日的最高溫度？" is "42-43°F" at 28%, meaning the market assigns a 28% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "44-45°F" at 24%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "芝加哥3月23日的最高溫度？" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.

Yes. You don't need to trade to stay informed. This page serves as a live tracker for "芝加哥3月23日的最高溫度？." The outcome probabilities update in real-time as new trades come in. You can bookmark this page and check the comments section to see what other traders are saying. You can also use the time-range filters on the chart to see how the odds have shifted over time. It's a free, real-time window into what the market expects to happen.

Polymarket odds are set by real traders putting real money behind their beliefs, which tends to surface accurate predictions. With $16.4K traded on “芝加哥3月23日的最高溫度？,” these prices aggregate the collective knowledge and conviction of thousands of participants — often outperforming polls, expert forecasts, and traditional surveys. Prediction markets like Polymarket have a strong track record of accuracy, especially as events approach their resolution date. For example, Polymarket has a one month accuracy score of 94%. For the latest stats on Polymarket’s prediction accuracy, visit the accuracy page on Polymarket.

To place your first trade on "芝加哥3月23日的最高溫度？," sign up for a free Polymarket account and fund it using crypto, a credit or debit card, or a bank transfer. Once your account is funded, return to this page, select the outcome you want to trade, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If you're new to prediction markets, click the "How it works" link at the top of any Polymarket page for a quick step-by-step walkthrough of how trading works.

On Polymarket, the price of each outcome represents the market's implied probability. A price of 28¢ for "42-43°F" in the "芝加哥3月23日的最高溫度？" market means traders collectively believe there is roughly a 28% chance that "42-43°F" will be the correct result. If you buy "Yes" shares at 28¢ and the outcome is correct, you receive $1.00 per share — a profit of 72¢ per share. If incorrect, those shares are worth $0.

The "芝加哥3月23日的最高溫度？" market is scheduled to resolve on or around Mar 23, 2026. This means trading will remain open and the odds will continue to shift as new information emerges until that date. The exact resolution timing depends on when the official result becomes available, as outlined in the "Rules" section on this page.

The "芝加哥3月23日的最高溫度？" market has an active community of 89 comments where traders share their analysis, debate outcomes, and discuss breaking developments. Scroll down to the comments section below to read what other participants think. You can also filter by "Top Holders" to see what the market's biggest traders are positioned on, or check the "Activity" tab for a real-time feed of trades.

Polymarket is the world's largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge of real-world events. Traders buy and sell shares on outcomes for topics ranging from politics and elections to crypto, finance, sports, tech, and culture, including markets like "芝加哥3月23日的最高溫度？." Prices reflect real-time, crowd-sourced probabilities backed by financial conviction, often providing faster and more accurate signals than polls, pundits, or traditional surveys.

芝加哥3月23日的最高溫度？

芝加哥3月23日的最高溫度？

規則

盤口背景

盤口背景

評論 (89)

頂級持倉者

持倉

動態

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the "芝加哥3月23日的最高溫度？" prediction market?

How much trading activity has "芝加哥3月23日的最高溫度？" generated on Polymarket?

How do I trade on "芝加哥3月23日的最高溫度？"?

What are the current odds for "芝加哥3月23日的最高溫度？"?

How will "芝加哥3月23日的最高溫度？" be resolved?

Can I follow "芝加哥3月23日的最高溫度？" without placing a trade?

Why are Polymarket's odds for "芝加哥3月23日的最高溫度？" considered reliable?

How do I start trading on "芝加哥3月23日的最高溫度？"?

What does a price of 28¢ for "42-43°F" mean?

When does the "芝加哥3月23日的最高溫度？" market close?

What are traders saying about "芝加哥3月23日的最高溫度？"?

What is Polymarket?