Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns 100% implied probability to a high temperature of 72-73°F in Chicago on April 15, 2026, directly reflecting the official measurement of 73°F at Chicago O'Hare International Airport (KORD), the National Weather Service-designated climate station. This peak, recorded at 2:58 p.m. CDT amid record-breaking 2.43 inches of rainfall from thunderstorms, surpassed the previous April 15 record of 72°F set in 1955, well above the climatological normal of 59°F. Supporting evidence includes verified METAR observations and NWS post-event summaries confirming no higher readings. Realistic challenges—such as rare data revisions from instrument audits or quality control discrepancies—remain improbable given the robust monitoring protocols.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於芝加哥4月15日最高溫度?
芝加哥4月15日最高溫度?
72-73°F 100.0%
華氏55度或以下 <1%
56-57°F <1%
58-59°F <1%
$226,686 交易量
$226,686 交易量
華氏55度或以下
否
56-57°F
否
58-59°F
否
60-61°F
否
62-63°F
否
64-65°F
否
66-67°F
否
68-69°F
否
70-71°F
否
72-73°F
是
華氏74度或更高
否
72-73°F 100.0%
華氏55度或以下 <1%
56-57°F <1%
58-59°F <1%
$226,686 交易量
$226,686 交易量
華氏55度或以下
否
56-57°F
否
58-59°F
否
60-61°F
否
62-63°F
否
64-65°F
否
66-67°F
否
68-69°F
否
70-71°F
否
72-73°F
是
華氏74度或更高
否
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市場開放時間: Apr 13, 2026, 12:26 AM ET
已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns 100% implied probability to a high temperature of 72-73°F in Chicago on April 15, 2026, directly reflecting the official measurement of 73°F at Chicago O'Hare International Airport (KORD), the National Weather Service-designated climate station. This peak, recorded at 2:58 p.m. CDT amid record-breaking 2.43 inches of rainfall from thunderstorms, surpassed the previous April 15 record of 72°F set in 1955, well above the climatological normal of 59°F. Supporting evidence includes verified METAR observations and NWS post-event summaries confirming no higher readings. Realistic challenges—such as rare data revisions from instrument audits or quality control discrepancies—remain improbable given the robust monitoring protocols.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
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