Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns virtually 100% implied probability to Busan’s highest temperature reaching 21°C or higher on April 10, driven by the latest Korea Meteorological Administration short-term forecasts and model ensembles projecting a daytime peak near 22°C under warmer-than-average spring conditions with clouds breaking for sun. Observations at Gimhae International Airport—the official resolution station via Weather Underground—confirm midday temperatures surpassing 18°C, fueled by light winds, high pressure dominance, and above-normal insolation following recent mild nights. Realistic challenges include persistent low cloud cover stifling solar heating or a sudden cool air advection, though steering patterns and forecast consensus render these low-likelihood; updated hourly data expected through evening.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於Highest temperature in Busan on April 10?
Highest temperature in Busan on April 10?
21°C or higher 100.0%
11°C or below <1%
12°C <1%
13°C <1%
$23,371 交易量
$23,371 交易量
11°C or below
No
12°C
No
13°C
No
14°C
No
15°C
No
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C or higher
Yes
21°C or higher 100.0%
11°C or below <1%
12°C <1%
13°C <1%
$23,371 交易量
$23,371 交易量
11°C or below
No
12°C
No
13°C
No
14°C
No
15°C
No
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C or higher
Yes
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市場開放時間: Apr 6, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
已提議結果: No
無爭議
最終結果: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
已提議結果: No
無爭議
最終結果: No
Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns virtually 100% implied probability to Busan’s highest temperature reaching 21°C or higher on April 10, driven by the latest Korea Meteorological Administration short-term forecasts and model ensembles projecting a daytime peak near 22°C under warmer-than-average spring conditions with clouds breaking for sun. Observations at Gimhae International Airport—the official resolution station via Weather Underground—confirm midday temperatures surpassing 18°C, fueled by light winds, high pressure dominance, and above-normal insolation following recent mild nights. Realistic challenges include persistent low cloud cover stifling solar heating or a sudden cool air advection, though steering patterns and forecast consensus render these low-likelihood; updated hourly data expected through evening.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions