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Highest temperature in Buenos Aires on March 29?

Market icon

Highest temperature in Buenos Aires on March 29?

Mar 28

Mar 29

Mar 28

Mar 29

30°C 28%

29°C 26%

28°C 24%

31°C 15%

Polymarket

$35,203 交易量

30°C 28%

29°C 26%

28°C 24%

31°C 15%

Polymarket

$35,203 交易量

23°C or below

$4,838 交易量

<1%

24°C

$3,713 交易量

<1%

25°C

$2,956 交易量

1%

26°C

$4,281 交易量

2%

27°C

$2,276 交易量

4%

28°C

$2,265 交易量

24%

29°C

$2,579 交易量

26%

30°C

$2,857 交易量

28%

31°C

$1,941 交易量

15%

32°C

$3,101 交易量

6%

33°C or higher

$4,395 交易量

1%

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Mar '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.The Servicio Meteorológico Nacional (SMN) latest forecast points to a 30°C high in Buenos Aires on March 29, driven by a warm air mass pushing temperatures 3-6°C above late-March norms, explaining the market-implied 29% odds on that outcome. However, closely trailing probabilities for 28°C and 29°C at 24.5% each reflect uncertainty from 40-70% chances of isolated thunderstorms, which could introduce cloud cover or convective activity to limit peak afternoon heating. Model spread—such as Infoclima's 28°C projection—highlights differing views on instability timing and sea breeze influence, with traders awaiting SMN's final morning update and real-time Aeroparque or Ezeiza observations to resolve this tight contest amid inherent short-term forecast divergence.

The Servicio Meteorológico Nacional (SMN) latest forecast points to a 30°C high in Buenos Aires on March 29, driven by a warm air mass pushing temperatures 3-6°C above late-March norms, explaining the market-implied 29% odds on that outcome. However, closely trailing probabilities for 28°C and 29°C at 24.5% each reflect uncertainty from 40-70% chances of isolated thunderstorms, which could introduce cloud cover or convective activity to limit peak afternoon heating. Model spread—such as Infoclima's 28°C projection—highlights differing views on instability timing and sea breeze influence, with traders awaiting SMN's final morning update and real-time Aeroparque or Ezeiza observations to resolve this tight contest amid inherent short-term forecast divergence.

基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Mar '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.The Servicio Meteorológico Nacional (SMN) latest forecast points to a 30°C high in Buenos Aires on March 29, driven by a warm air mass pushing temperatures 3-6°C above late-March norms, explaining the market-implied 29% odds on that outcome. However, closely trailing probabilities for 28°C and 29°C at 24.5% each reflect uncertainty from 40-70% chances of isolated thunderstorms, which could introduce cloud cover or convective activity to limit peak afternoon heating. Model spread—such as Infoclima's 28°C projection—highlights differing views on instability timing and sea breeze influence, with traders awaiting SMN's final morning update and real-time Aeroparque or Ezeiza observations to resolve this tight contest amid inherent short-term forecast divergence.

The Servicio Meteorológico Nacional (SMN) latest forecast points to a 30°C high in Buenos Aires on March 29, driven by a warm air mass pushing temperatures 3-6°C above late-March norms, explaining the market-implied 29% odds on that outcome. However, closely trailing probabilities for 28°C and 29°C at 24.5% each reflect uncertainty from 40-70% chances of isolated thunderstorms, which could introduce cloud cover or convective activity to limit peak afternoon heating. Model spread—such as Infoclima's 28°C projection—highlights differing views on instability timing and sea breeze influence, with traders awaiting SMN's final morning update and real-time Aeroparque or Ezeiza observations to resolve this tight contest amid inherent short-term forecast divergence.

基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於

警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"Highest temperature in Buenos Aires on March 29?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 11 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "30°C" at 28%, followed by "29°C" at 26%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 28¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 28% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Highest temperature in Buenos Aires on March 29?" has generated $35.2K in total trading volume since the market launched on Mar 25, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Highest temperature in Buenos Aires on March 29?," browse the 11 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Highest temperature in Buenos Aires on March 29?" is "30°C" at 28%, meaning the market assigns a 28% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "29°C" at 26%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Highest temperature in Buenos Aires on March 29?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.