Trader consensus has locked in 23°C as the highest temperature in Beijing on April 15 at 100% implied probability, driven by real-time observational data from Beijing Capital International Airport (ZBAA) station, the market's official resolution source via Wunderground history. METAR reports confirm a midday peak near 23°C (74°F) under partly cloudy skies and light southerly winds, with evening overcast conditions preventing further warming despite earlier China Meteorological Administration forecasts of 26°C fine weather. This aligns with mid-April climatology, where highs average 20-22°C amid variable spring patterns. Model consensus from GFS and ECMWF had anticipated 25-26°C but diverged due to unforecast cloud cover. Final daily maximum unlikely to shift barring rare data revisions.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於Highest temperature in Beijing on April 15?
Highest temperature in Beijing on April 15?
23°C 100.0%
21°C or below <1%
22°C <1%
24°C <1%
$192,235 交易量
$192,235 交易量
21°C or below
No
22°C
No
23°C
Yes
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C or higher
No
23°C 100.0%
21°C or below <1%
22°C <1%
24°C <1%
$192,235 交易量
$192,235 交易量
21°C or below
No
22°C
No
23°C
Yes
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市場開放時間: Apr 13, 2026, 12:09 AM ET
已提議結果: No
無爭議
最終結果: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
已提議結果: No
無爭議
最終結果: No
Trader consensus has locked in 23°C as the highest temperature in Beijing on April 15 at 100% implied probability, driven by real-time observational data from Beijing Capital International Airport (ZBAA) station, the market's official resolution source via Wunderground history. METAR reports confirm a midday peak near 23°C (74°F) under partly cloudy skies and light southerly winds, with evening overcast conditions preventing further warming despite earlier China Meteorological Administration forecasts of 26°C fine weather. This aligns with mid-April climatology, where highs average 20-22°C amid variable spring patterns. Model consensus from GFS and ECMWF had anticipated 25-26°C but diverged due to unforecast cloud cover. Final daily maximum unlikely to shift barring rare data revisions.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions