National Weather Service forecasts indicate a high of 81°F for Austin on April 9, 2026, at official stations like Camp Mabry, driven by southeasterly winds fostering diurnal heating amid mostly cloudy skies and light moisture inflow. Observational data from Camp Mabry shows morning lows near 66°F warming to 70°F by noon, tracking model consensus from GFS and ECMWF ensembles that project peaks in the low 80s despite a 40% chance of afternoon showers. This robust evidence underpins trader consensus at 100% implied probability for 74°F or higher, reflecting historical spring norms around 79°F. Realistic challenges include early heavy thunderstorms or persistent marine stratus capping heating below 74°F, though current guidance deems these low-risk; hourly updates from NWS will refine intraday trajectories.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於4月9日奧斯汀的最高溫度?
4月9日奧斯汀的最高溫度?
華氏74度或更高 100.0%
攝氏55度或以下 <1%
56-57°F <1%
58-59°F <1%
$31,600 交易量
$31,600 交易量
攝氏55度或以下
否
56-57°F
否
58-59°F
否
60-61°F
否
62-63°F
否
64-65°F
否
66-67°F
否
68-69°F
否
70-71°F
否
72-73°F
否
華氏74度或更高
是
華氏74度或更高 100.0%
攝氏55度或以下 <1%
56-57°F <1%
58-59°F <1%
$31,600 交易量
$31,600 交易量
攝氏55度或以下
否
56-57°F
否
58-59°F
否
60-61°F
否
62-63°F
否
64-65°F
否
66-67°F
否
68-69°F
否
70-71°F
否
72-73°F
否
華氏74度或更高
是
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市場開放時間: Apr 5, 2026, 12:10 AM ET
已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
National Weather Service forecasts indicate a high of 81°F for Austin on April 9, 2026, at official stations like Camp Mabry, driven by southeasterly winds fostering diurnal heating amid mostly cloudy skies and light moisture inflow. Observational data from Camp Mabry shows morning lows near 66°F warming to 70°F by noon, tracking model consensus from GFS and ECMWF ensembles that project peaks in the low 80s despite a 40% chance of afternoon showers. This robust evidence underpins trader consensus at 100% implied probability for 74°F or higher, reflecting historical spring norms around 79°F. Realistic challenges include early heavy thunderstorms or persistent marine stratus capping heating below 74°F, though current guidance deems these low-risk; hourly updates from NWS will refine intraday trajectories.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions