Official observations from the Turkish State Meteorological Service (MGM) at Ankara Esenboğa International Airport—the market's resolution source—confirm the highest temperature on April 15 reached exactly 20°C, driving trader consensus to 100% implied probability for that outcome. This aligns with mid-April climatological norms for central Turkey, where daily maxima typically range 16–18°C amid variable spring weather patterns influenced by continental high-pressure systems and southerly flows. Pre-event forecasts from ensemble models had converged on 19–21°C peaks under partly sunny conditions with light winds. Realistic challenges are negligible post-measurement, though minor revisions could arise from final quality-controlled data releases, but historical precedents show such adjustments rarely exceed 0.5°C.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於4月15日安卡拉的最高溫度?
4月15日安卡拉的最高溫度?
20°C 100.0%
13°C或以下 <1%
14°C <1%
15°C <1%
$166,215 交易量
$166,215 交易量
13°C或以下
否
14°C
否
15°C
否
16°C
否
17°C
否
18°C
否
19°C
否
20°C
是
21°C
否
22°C
否
23°C或更高
否
20°C 100.0%
13°C或以下 <1%
14°C <1%
15°C <1%
$166,215 交易量
$166,215 交易量
13°C或以下
否
14°C
否
15°C
否
16°C
否
17°C
否
18°C
否
19°C
否
20°C
是
21°C
否
22°C
否
23°C或更高
否
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市場開放時間: Apr 13, 2026, 12:14 AM ET
已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
Official observations from the Turkish State Meteorological Service (MGM) at Ankara Esenboğa International Airport—the market's resolution source—confirm the highest temperature on April 15 reached exactly 20°C, driving trader consensus to 100% implied probability for that outcome. This aligns with mid-April climatological norms for central Turkey, where daily maxima typically range 16–18°C amid variable spring weather patterns influenced by continental high-pressure systems and southerly flows. Pre-event forecasts from ensemble models had converged on 19–21°C peaks under partly sunny conditions with light winds. Realistic challenges are negligible post-measurement, though minor revisions could arise from final quality-controlled data releases, but historical precedents show such adjustments rarely exceed 0.5°C.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
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