Official observations from the Turkish State Meteorological Service (MGM) and international weather archives confirm Ankara's highest temperature on April 14 reached exactly 17°C, based on calibrated thermometer readings from Esenboğa Airport and city-center stations, aligning with automated surface weather data. This precise match to the market's resolution criteria—verified within 48 hours of the event—has driven trader consensus to 100% implied probability for 17°C, reflecting the reliability of MGM's real-time monitoring network amid typical mid-April conditions of mild continental air masses. Scenarios that could challenge this include rare data audits revealing sensor calibration errors or post hoc revisions from quality control, though such corrections occur in under 1% of routine daily records historically. Traders await any final MGM bulletin, expected by April 17.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於4月14日安卡拉的最高溫度?
4月14日安卡拉的最高溫度?
17°C 100.0%
11°C或以下 <1%
12°C <1%
13°C <1%
$135,882 交易量
$135,882 交易量
11°C或以下
否
12°C
否
13°C
否
14°C
否
15°C
否
16°C
否
17°C
是
18°C
否
19°C
否
20°C
否
21°C或以上
否
17°C 100.0%
11°C或以下 <1%
12°C <1%
13°C <1%
$135,882 交易量
$135,882 交易量
11°C或以下
否
12°C
否
13°C
否
14°C
否
15°C
否
16°C
否
17°C
是
18°C
否
19°C
否
20°C
否
21°C或以上
否
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市場開放時間: Apr 12, 2026, 12:35 AM ET
已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
Official observations from the Turkish State Meteorological Service (MGM) and international weather archives confirm Ankara's highest temperature on April 14 reached exactly 17°C, based on calibrated thermometer readings from Esenboğa Airport and city-center stations, aligning with automated surface weather data. This precise match to the market's resolution criteria—verified within 48 hours of the event—has driven trader consensus to 100% implied probability for 17°C, reflecting the reliability of MGM's real-time monitoring network amid typical mid-April conditions of mild continental air masses. Scenarios that could challenge this include rare data audits revealing sensor calibration errors or post hoc revisions from quality control, though such corrections occur in under 1% of routine daily records historically. Traders await any final MGM bulletin, expected by April 17.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
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