Trader consensus assigns 100% implied probability to 8°C as the highest temperature in Ankara on April 12, backed by official observational data from the Turkish State Meteorological Service (MGM) at Esenboğa International Airport station, the market's resolution source. METAR aviation reports confirmed afternoon peaks at 8°C amid scattered clouds, patchy rain, and wind chill, consistent with a cold air mass suppressing highs below April norms of 16–17°C. Updated forecast models from days prior accurately predicted this outcome, reflecting divergent upper-air patterns steering unsettled weather over central Anatolia. Post-resolution challenges are minimal, though rare data audits for sensor errors could prompt review; no such issues have surfaced.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於Highest temperature in Ankara on April 12?
Highest temperature in Ankara on April 12?
8°C 100.0%
4°C or below <1%
5°C <1%
6°C <1%
$101,659 交易量
$101,659 交易量
4°C or below
No
5°C
No
6°C
No
7°C
No
8°C
Yes
9°C
No
10°C
No
11°C
No
12°C
No
13°C
No
14°C or higher
No
8°C 100.0%
4°C or below <1%
5°C <1%
6°C <1%
$101,659 交易量
$101,659 交易量
4°C or below
No
5°C
No
6°C
No
7°C
No
8°C
Yes
9°C
No
10°C
No
11°C
No
12°C
No
13°C
No
14°C or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市場開放時間: Apr 8, 2026, 12:08 AM ET
已提議結果: No
無爭議
最終結果: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
已提議結果: No
無爭議
最終結果: No
Trader consensus assigns 100% implied probability to 8°C as the highest temperature in Ankara on April 12, backed by official observational data from the Turkish State Meteorological Service (MGM) at Esenboğa International Airport station, the market's resolution source. METAR aviation reports confirmed afternoon peaks at 8°C amid scattered clouds, patchy rain, and wind chill, consistent with a cold air mass suppressing highs below April norms of 16–17°C. Updated forecast models from days prior accurately predicted this outcome, reflecting divergent upper-air patterns steering unsettled weather over central Anatolia. Post-resolution challenges are minimal, though rare data audits for sensor errors could prompt review; no such issues have surfaced.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions