Hezbollah maintains a high tempo of rocket and drone attacks on northern Israel, including over 130 launches during Passover on April 1-2 and fresh barrages targeting troops near Ainata and sites in Metula and Malkia as of April 2, prompting Israeli interceptions and retaliatory airstrikes. This reflects an ongoing war since early March 2026, triggered by Hezbollah's initial salvos, with Israel conducting limited ground operations up to 10 km into southern Lebanon, suffering Hezbollah losses exceeding 400 fighters, and announcing buffer zone plans. European calls for de-escalation persist amid Iranian coordination claims, but no ceasefire negotiations are confirmed, heightening risks of broader escalation.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於$2,532,614 交易量
2026-03-31
March 31
79%
$2,532,614 交易量
March 31
$40,920 交易量
79%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Hezbollah initiates a drone, missile, or air strike that impacts Israeli ground territory on the specified date, Israel Standard Time (UTC+2). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "military action" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by Hezbollah forces that physically impact land under Israeli control.
Israeli ground territory, for the purposes of this market, refers to land internationally recognized as part of the State of Israel, including all territory under de facto Israeli government administration as of market creation. This includes the Israeli-controlled Golan Heights and East Jerusalem, but excludes the West Bank and Gaza Strip.
Missiles or drones that are intercepted before reaching the ground, or surface-to-air missile strikes, will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether debris lands on Israeli soil or causes damage.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
If the date/time of a strike cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting by the end of the third calendar date after this market's end date, it will resolve to "No" regardless of whether a strike was later confirmed to have taken place.Hezbollah maintains a high tempo of rocket and drone attacks on northern Israel, including over 130 launches during Passover on April 1-2 and fresh barrages targeting troops near Ainata and sites in Metula and Malkia as of April 2, prompting Israeli interceptions and retaliatory airstrikes. This reflects an ongoing war since early March 2026, triggered by Hezbollah's initial salvos, with Israel conducting limited ground operations up to 10 km into southern Lebanon, suffering Hezbollah losses exceeding 400 fighters, and announcing buffer zone plans. European calls for de-escalation persist amid Iranian coordination claims, but no ceasefire negotiations are confirmed, heightening risks of broader escalation.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Hezbollah initiates a drone, missile, or air strike that impacts Israeli ground territory on the specified date, Israel Standard Time (UTC+2). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "military action" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by Hezbollah forces that physically impact land under Israeli control.
Israeli ground territory, for the purposes of this market, refers to land internationally recognized as part of the State of Israel, including all territory under de facto Israeli government administration as of market creation. This includes the Israeli-controlled Golan Heights and East Jerusalem, but excludes the West Bank and Gaza Strip.
Missiles or drones that are intercepted before reaching the ground, or surface-to-air missile strikes, will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether debris lands on Israeli soil or causes damage.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
If the date/time of a strike cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting by the end of the third calendar date after this market's end date, it will resolve to "No" regardless of whether a strike was later confirmed to have taken place.
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "military action" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by Hezbollah forces that physically impact land under Israeli control.
Israeli ground territory, for the purposes of this market, refers to land internationally recognized as part of the State of Israel, including all territory under de facto Israeli government administration as of market creation. This includes the Israeli-controlled Golan Heights and East Jerusalem, but excludes the West Bank and Gaza Strip.
Missiles or drones that are intercepted before reaching the ground, or surface-to-air missile strikes, will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether debris lands on Israeli soil or causes damage.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
If the date/time of a strike cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting by the end of the third calendar date after this market's end date, it will resolve to "No" regardless of whether a strike was later confirmed to have taken place.
市場開放時間： Mar 20, 2026, 2:48 PM ET
交易量
$2,532,614結束日期
2026-03-31市場開放時間
Mar 20, 2026, 2:48 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Hezbollah initiates a drone, missile, or air strike that impacts Israeli ground territory on the specified date, Israel Standard Time (UTC+2). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "military action" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by Hezbollah forces that physically impact land under Israeli control.
Israeli ground territory, for the purposes of this market, refers to land internationally recognized as part of the State of Israel, including all territory under de facto Israeli government administration as of market creation. This includes the Israeli-controlled Golan Heights and East Jerusalem, but excludes the West Bank and Gaza Strip.
Missiles or drones that are intercepted before reaching the ground, or surface-to-air missile strikes, will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether debris lands on Israeli soil or causes damage.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
If the date/time of a strike cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting by the end of the third calendar date after this market's end date, it will resolve to "No" regardless of whether a strike was later confirmed to have taken place.Hezbollah maintains a high tempo of rocket and drone attacks on northern Israel, including over 130 launches during Passover on April 1-2 and fresh barrages targeting troops near Ainata and sites in Metula and Malkia as of April 2, prompting Israeli interceptions and retaliatory airstrikes. This reflects an ongoing war since early March 2026, triggered by Hezbollah's initial salvos, with Israel conducting limited ground operations up to 10 km into southern Lebanon, suffering Hezbollah losses exceeding 400 fighters, and announcing buffer zone plans. European calls for de-escalation persist amid Iranian coordination claims, but no ceasefire negotiations are confirmed, heightening risks of broader escalation.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Hezbollah initiates a drone, missile, or air strike that impacts Israeli ground territory on the specified date, Israel Standard Time (UTC+2). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "military action" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by Hezbollah forces that physically impact land under Israeli control.
Israeli ground territory, for the purposes of this market, refers to land internationally recognized as part of the State of Israel, including all territory under de facto Israeli government administration as of market creation. This includes the Israeli-controlled Golan Heights and East Jerusalem, but excludes the West Bank and Gaza Strip.
Missiles or drones that are intercepted before reaching the ground, or surface-to-air missile strikes, will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether debris lands on Israeli soil or causes damage.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
If the date/time of a strike cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting by the end of the third calendar date after this market's end date, it will resolve to "No" regardless of whether a strike was later confirmed to have taken place.
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "military action" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by Hezbollah forces that physically impact land under Israeli control.
Israeli ground territory, for the purposes of this market, refers to land internationally recognized as part of the State of Israel, including all territory under de facto Israeli government administration as of market creation. This includes the Israeli-controlled Golan Heights and East Jerusalem, but excludes the West Bank and Gaza Strip.
Missiles or drones that are intercepted before reaching the ground, or surface-to-air missile strikes, will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether debris lands on Israeli soil or causes damage.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
If the date/time of a strike cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting by the end of the third calendar date after this market's end date, it will resolve to "No" regardless of whether a strike was later confirmed to have taken place.
交易量
$2,532,614結束日期
2026-03-31市場開放時間
Mar 20, 2026, 2:48 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Hezbollah maintains a high tempo of rocket and drone attacks on northern Israel, including over 130 launches during Passover on April 1-2 and fresh barrages targeting troops near Ainata and sites in Metula and Malkia as of April 2, prompting Israeli interceptions and retaliatory airstrikes. This reflects an ongoing war since early March 2026, triggered by Hezbollah's initial salvos, with Israel conducting limited ground operations up to 10 km into southern Lebanon, suffering Hezbollah losses exceeding 400 fighters, and announcing buffer zone plans. European calls for de-escalation persist amid Iranian coordination claims, but no ceasefire negotiations are confirmed, heightening risks of broader escalation.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions