Hezbollah resumed military actions against Israel on March 2, 2026, launching rockets, drones, and missiles at northern targets including Haifa—the first since the November 2024 ceasefire—amid broader Iran-Israel escalations, prompting Israeli airstrikes on Beirut and southern Lebanon. Israel initiated ground operations in southern Lebanon on March 16, with Prime Minister Netanyahu ordering a buffer zone expansion on March 29 to counter Hezbollah's rearmament. Hezbollah claimed 285 attacks from March 16-23 alone, continuing rocket barrages and ambushes to raise invasion costs, as UN officials warned March 31 of potential occupation risks. Traders monitor daily cross-border strikes, diplomatic ceasefire talks, and Security Council sessions for de-escalation signals.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於$2,521,312 交易量
2026-03-31
March 31
97%
$2,521,312 交易量
March 31
$29,617 交易量
97%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Hezbollah initiates a drone, missile, or air strike that impacts Israeli ground territory on the specified date, Israel Standard Time (UTC+2). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "military action" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by Hezbollah forces that physically impact land under Israeli control.
Israeli ground territory, for the purposes of this market, refers to land internationally recognized as part of the State of Israel, including all territory under de facto Israeli government administration as of market creation. This includes the Israeli-controlled Golan Heights and East Jerusalem, but excludes the West Bank and Gaza Strip.
Missiles or drones that are intercepted before reaching the ground, or surface-to-air missile strikes, will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether debris lands on Israeli soil or causes damage.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
If the date/time of a strike cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting by the end of the third calendar date after this market's end date, it will resolve to "No" regardless of whether a strike was later confirmed to have taken place.Hezbollah resumed military actions against Israel on March 2, 2026, launching rockets, drones, and missiles at northern targets including Haifa—the first since the November 2024 ceasefire—amid broader Iran-Israel escalations, prompting Israeli airstrikes on Beirut and southern Lebanon. Israel initiated ground operations in southern Lebanon on March 16, with Prime Minister Netanyahu ordering a buffer zone expansion on March 29 to counter Hezbollah's rearmament. Hezbollah claimed 285 attacks from March 16-23 alone, continuing rocket barrages and ambushes to raise invasion costs, as UN officials warned March 31 of potential occupation risks. Traders monitor daily cross-border strikes, diplomatic ceasefire talks, and Security Council sessions for de-escalation signals.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Hezbollah initiates a drone, missile, or air strike that impacts Israeli ground territory on the specified date, Israel Standard Time (UTC+2). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "military action" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by Hezbollah forces that physically impact land under Israeli control.
Israeli ground territory, for the purposes of this market, refers to land internationally recognized as part of the State of Israel, including all territory under de facto Israeli government administration as of market creation. This includes the Israeli-controlled Golan Heights and East Jerusalem, but excludes the West Bank and Gaza Strip.
Missiles or drones that are intercepted before reaching the ground, or surface-to-air missile strikes, will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether debris lands on Israeli soil or causes damage.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
If the date/time of a strike cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting by the end of the third calendar date after this market's end date, it will resolve to "No" regardless of whether a strike was later confirmed to have taken place.
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "military action" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by Hezbollah forces that physically impact land under Israeli control.
Israeli ground territory, for the purposes of this market, refers to land internationally recognized as part of the State of Israel, including all territory under de facto Israeli government administration as of market creation. This includes the Israeli-controlled Golan Heights and East Jerusalem, but excludes the West Bank and Gaza Strip.
Missiles or drones that are intercepted before reaching the ground, or surface-to-air missile strikes, will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether debris lands on Israeli soil or causes damage.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
If the date/time of a strike cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting by the end of the third calendar date after this market's end date, it will resolve to "No" regardless of whether a strike was later confirmed to have taken place.
市場開放時間： Mar 20, 2026, 2:48 PM ET
交易量
$2,521,312結束日期
2026-03-31市場開放時間
Mar 20, 2026, 2:48 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...已提議結果: Yes
無爭議
最終結果: Yes
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Hezbollah initiates a drone, missile, or air strike that impacts Israeli ground territory on the specified date, Israel Standard Time (UTC+2). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "military action" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by Hezbollah forces that physically impact land under Israeli control.
Israeli ground territory, for the purposes of this market, refers to land internationally recognized as part of the State of Israel, including all territory under de facto Israeli government administration as of market creation. This includes the Israeli-controlled Golan Heights and East Jerusalem, but excludes the West Bank and Gaza Strip.
Missiles or drones that are intercepted before reaching the ground, or surface-to-air missile strikes, will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether debris lands on Israeli soil or causes damage.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
If the date/time of a strike cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting by the end of the third calendar date after this market's end date, it will resolve to "No" regardless of whether a strike was later confirmed to have taken place.Hezbollah resumed military actions against Israel on March 2, 2026, launching rockets, drones, and missiles at northern targets including Haifa—the first since the November 2024 ceasefire—amid broader Iran-Israel escalations, prompting Israeli airstrikes on Beirut and southern Lebanon. Israel initiated ground operations in southern Lebanon on March 16, with Prime Minister Netanyahu ordering a buffer zone expansion on March 29 to counter Hezbollah's rearmament. Hezbollah claimed 285 attacks from March 16-23 alone, continuing rocket barrages and ambushes to raise invasion costs, as UN officials warned March 31 of potential occupation risks. Traders monitor daily cross-border strikes, diplomatic ceasefire talks, and Security Council sessions for de-escalation signals.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Hezbollah initiates a drone, missile, or air strike that impacts Israeli ground territory on the specified date, Israel Standard Time (UTC+2). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "military action" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by Hezbollah forces that physically impact land under Israeli control.
Israeli ground territory, for the purposes of this market, refers to land internationally recognized as part of the State of Israel, including all territory under de facto Israeli government administration as of market creation. This includes the Israeli-controlled Golan Heights and East Jerusalem, but excludes the West Bank and Gaza Strip.
Missiles or drones that are intercepted before reaching the ground, or surface-to-air missile strikes, will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether debris lands on Israeli soil or causes damage.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
If the date/time of a strike cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting by the end of the third calendar date after this market's end date, it will resolve to "No" regardless of whether a strike was later confirmed to have taken place.
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "military action" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by Hezbollah forces that physically impact land under Israeli control.
Israeli ground territory, for the purposes of this market, refers to land internationally recognized as part of the State of Israel, including all territory under de facto Israeli government administration as of market creation. This includes the Israeli-controlled Golan Heights and East Jerusalem, but excludes the West Bank and Gaza Strip.
Missiles or drones that are intercepted before reaching the ground, or surface-to-air missile strikes, will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether debris lands on Israeli soil or causes damage.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
If the date/time of a strike cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting by the end of the third calendar date after this market's end date, it will resolve to "No" regardless of whether a strike was later confirmed to have taken place.
交易量
$2,521,312結束日期
2026-03-31市場開放時間
Mar 20, 2026, 2:48 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...已提議結果: Yes
無爭議
最終結果: Yes
Hezbollah resumed military actions against Israel on March 2, 2026, launching rockets, drones, and missiles at northern targets including Haifa—the first since the November 2024 ceasefire—amid broader Iran-Israel escalations, prompting Israeli airstrikes on Beirut and southern Lebanon. Israel initiated ground operations in southern Lebanon on March 16, with Prime Minister Netanyahu ordering a buffer zone expansion on March 29 to counter Hezbollah's rearmament. Hezbollah claimed 285 attacks from March 16-23 alone, continuing rocket barrages and ambushes to raise invasion costs, as UN officials warned March 31 of potential occupation risks. Traders monitor daily cross-border strikes, diplomatic ceasefire talks, and Security Council sessions for de-escalation signals.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於
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