2026年歐元區年度通脹

Name: 2026年歐元區年度通脹
Start: 2026-01-22T00:29:42.904Z
End: 2027-01-19T00:00:00.000Z

經濟艙·宏觀指標

2026年歐元區年度通脹

2.8-3.0% 37.1%

1.9–2.1% 31%

1.3–1.5% 24.3%

3.1％以上 23.5%

NEW

Jan 19, 2027

低於1.0%

$0 交易量

17%

1.0–1.2%

$0 交易量

32%

1.3–1.5%

$0 交易量

24%

1.6–1.8%

$0 交易量

32%

1.9–2.1%

$0 交易量

18%

2.2–2.4%

$0 交易量

28%

2.5–2.7%

$0 交易量

17%

2.8-3.0%

$0 交易量

37%

3.1％以上

$0 交易量

42%

2.8-3.0% 37.1%

1.9–2.1% 31%

1.3–1.5% 24.3%

3.1％以上 23.5%

NEW

Jan 19, 2027

低於1.0%

$0 交易量

17%

1.0–1.2%

$0 交易量

32%

1.3–1.5%

$0 交易量

24%

1.6–1.8%

$0 交易量

32%

1.9–2.1%

$0 交易量

18%

2.2–2.4%

$0 交易量

28%

2.5–2.7%

$0 交易量

17%

2.8-3.0%

$0 交易量

37%

3.1％以上

$0 交易量

42%

This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in the Eurozone over the 12-month period ending December 2026 as reported by Eurostat. This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Harmonised Index of Consumer Prices (HICP) over the 12-month period ending December 2026, according to the monthly Eurostat report. The resolution source for this market will be the Eurostat Harmonised Index of Consumer Prices monthly report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on January 19, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month. You can find this report on the Eurostat website (https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/en/) by selecting the "Database" option from the "Data" dropdown, opening the "Data navigation tree" folder, then the "Economy and finance" folder, then the "Prices (prc)" folder, then the "Harmonised index of consumer prices (HICP) (prc_hicp)" folder, and opening the file named "HICP - monthly data (annual rate of change) (prc_hicp_manr)". The relevant figure can be found in the column for the relevant month in the row marked "Euro area - 20 countries (from 2023)". Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Eurostat HICP news release which reports inflation change over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/web/main/news/release-calendar or https://www.ecb.europa.eu/press/calendars/statscal/ges/html/sthicp.en.html

Polymarket traders are tightly split on Eurozone annual inflation for 2026, pricing 49.6% odds for 3.1%+ against 40.1% for 2.8-3.0%, as sticky core pressures challenge ECB projections of 1.9%. December's headline CPI printed at 2.4%—easing from October's peak—but core held at 2.7% and services inflation near 4%, driven by 4.5% wage growth amid labor shortages. This trader consensus diverges from consensus forecasts by betting on prolonged disinflation delays from gradual ECB cuts (now at 3%) and energy volatility tied to geopolitics. Differentiators include upside commodity risks versus base-case fiscal restraint; watch January flash CPI and March ECB meeting for shifts.

基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於 Mar 22, 2026, 1:24 PM UTC

警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"2026年歐元區年度通脹" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 9 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "3.1％以上" at 42%, followed by "2.8-3.0%" at 37%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 42¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 42% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"2026年歐元區年度通脹" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Jan 22, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "2026年歐元區年度通脹," browse the 9 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "2026年歐元區年度通脹" is "3.1％以上" at 42%, meaning the market assigns a 42% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "2.8-3.0%" at 37%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "2026年歐元區年度通脹" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.

Yes. You don't need to trade to stay informed. This page serves as a live tracker for "2026年歐元區年度通脹." The outcome probabilities update in real-time as new trades come in. You can bookmark this page and check the comments section to see what other traders are saying. You can also use the time-range filters on the chart to see how the odds have shifted over time. It's a free, real-time window into what the market expects to happen.

Polymarket odds are set by real traders putting real money behind their beliefs, which tends to surface accurate predictions. “2026年歐元區年度通脹” is still building its trading base, so the odds will become increasingly reliable as more participants enter the market. Prediction markets like Polymarket have a strong track record of accuracy, especially as events approach their resolution date. For example, Polymarket has a one month accuracy score of 94%. For the latest stats on Polymarket’s prediction accuracy, visit the accuracy page on Polymarket.

To place your first trade on "2026年歐元區年度通脹," sign up for a free Polymarket account and fund it using crypto, a credit or debit card, or a bank transfer. Once your account is funded, return to this page, select the outcome you want to trade, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If you're new to prediction markets, click the "How it works" link at the top of any Polymarket page for a quick step-by-step walkthrough of how trading works.

On Polymarket, the price of each outcome represents the market's implied probability. A price of 42¢ for "3.1％以上" in the "2026年歐元區年度通脹" market means traders collectively believe there is roughly a 42% chance that "3.1％以上" will be the correct result. If you buy "Yes" shares at 42¢ and the outcome is correct, you receive $1.00 per share — a profit of 58¢ per share. If incorrect, those shares are worth $0.

The "2026年歐元區年度通脹" market is scheduled to resolve on or around Jan 19, 2027. This means trading will remain open and the odds will continue to shift as new information emerges until that date. The exact resolution timing depends on when the official result becomes available, as outlined in the "Rules" section on this page.

The "2026年歐元區年度通脹" market has a growing discussion of 2 comments where traders share their analysis, debate outcomes, and discuss breaking developments. Scroll down to the comments section below to read what other participants think. You can also filter by "Top Holders" to see what the market's biggest traders are positioned on, or check the "Activity" tab for a real-time feed of trades.

Polymarket is the world's largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge of real-world events. Traders buy and sell shares on outcomes for topics ranging from politics and elections to crypto, finance, sports, tech, and culture, including markets like "2026年歐元區年度通脹." Prices reflect real-time, crowd-sourced probabilities backed by financial conviction, often providing faster and more accurate signals than polls, pundits, or traditional surveys.

2026年歐元區年度通脹

2026年歐元區年度通脹

規則

盤口背景

盤口背景

評論 (2)

頂級持倉者

持倉

動態

Frequently Asked Questions

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What does a price of 42¢ for "3.1％以上" mean?

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