2026年歐洲歌唱大賽冠軍

Name: 2026年歐洲歌唱大賽冠軍
Start: 2025-12-06T00:56:07.401Z
End: 2026-05-16T00:00:00.000Z

2026年歐洲歌唱大賽冠軍 — 討論

Romiche22 · 2025-12-06T00:56:07.401Z

關於2026年歐洲歌唱大賽冠軍的討論。交易者在 Polymarket 上分享見解和預測。

2026年歐洲歌唱大賽冠軍

芬蘭 37.5%

法國 12.8%

丹麥 12.7%

希臘 6.5%

$26,906,435 交易量

May 16, 2026

芬蘭

$1,497,925 交易量

38%

法國

$1,040,727 交易量

13%

丹麥

$659,271 交易量

13%

希臘

$1,019,786 交易量

澳洲

$828,885 交易量

以色列

$910,981 交易量

瑞典

$640,507 交易量

義大利

$1,151,588 交易量

烏克蘭

$810,138 交易量

馬耳他

$687,731 交易量

保加利亞

$865,584 交易量

賽普勒斯

$718,158 交易量

捷克

$625,153 交易量

羅馬尼亞

$461,992 交易量

英國

$520,689 交易量

德國

$537,178 交易量

盧森堡

$462,868 交易量

挪威

$865,412 交易量

塞爾維亞

$577,613 交易量

比利時

$927,408 交易量

<1%

阿爾巴尼亞

$681,337 交易量

<1%

克羅地亞

$655,356 交易量

<1%

摩爾多瓦

$469,092 交易量

<1%

立陶宛

$549,252 交易量

<1%

波蘭

$621,117 交易量

<1%

奧地利

$866,551 交易量

<1%

愛沙尼亞

$987,407 交易量

<1%

拉脫維亞

$629,702 交易量

<1%

葡萄牙

$725,643 交易量

<1%

聖馬力諾

$785,154 交易量

<1%

亞美尼亞

$578,633 交易量

<1%

阿塞拜疆

$1,183,376 交易量

<1%

喬治亞

$592,518 交易量

<1%

蒙特內哥羅

$787,445 交易量

<1%

瑞士

$989,028 交易量

<1%

芬蘭 37.5%

法國 12.8%

丹麥 12.7%

希臘 6.5%

$26,906,435 交易量

May 16, 2026

芬蘭

$1,497,925 交易量

38%

法國

$1,040,727 交易量

13%

丹麥

$659,271 交易量

13%

希臘

$1,019,786 交易量

澳洲

$828,885 交易量

以色列

$910,981 交易量

瑞典

$640,507 交易量

義大利

$1,151,588 交易量

烏克蘭

$810,138 交易量

馬耳他

$687,731 交易量

保加利亞

$865,584 交易量

賽普勒斯

$718,158 交易量

捷克

$625,153 交易量

羅馬尼亞

$461,992 交易量

英國

$520,689 交易量

德國

$537,178 交易量

盧森堡

$462,868 交易量

挪威

$865,412 交易量

塞爾維亞

$577,613 交易量

比利時

$927,408 交易量

<1%

阿爾巴尼亞

$681,337 交易量

<1%

克羅地亞

$655,356 交易量

<1%

摩爾多瓦

$469,092 交易量

<1%

立陶宛

$549,252 交易量

<1%

波蘭

$621,117 交易量

<1%

奧地利

$866,551 交易量

<1%

愛沙尼亞

$987,407 交易量

<1%

拉脫維亞

$629,702 交易量

<1%

葡萄牙

$725,643 交易量

<1%

聖馬力諾

$785,154 交易量

<1%

亞美尼亞

$578,633 交易量

<1%

阿塞拜疆

$1,183,376 交易量

<1%

喬治亞

$592,518 交易量

<1%

蒙特內哥羅

$787,445 交易量

<1%

瑞士

$989,028 交易量

<1%

This market will resolve to the country whose candidate for Eurovision 2026 wins. If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to win Eurovision 2026 based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No". If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.

Finland's dominant 37.6% implied probability as Eurovision 2026 favorite stems from the early announcement of Erika Vikman as their entrant with "Ich komme," fueled by viral rehearsal clips garnering millions of views and her strong 2021 televote performance. Trader consensus has surged post-reveal, reflecting Finland's pop appeal and Nordic voting bloc potential. France (12.7%) and Denmark (12.7%) trail closely, boosted by Louane's emotive "Maman" ballad and Marcus & Martinus's proven 2023 draw, respectively. Greece (6.6%) gains from diaspora hype amid internal selection rumors, while Australia's perennial televote strength holds at 5.1%. Early markets hinge on pre-final buzz, with national selections through winter 2025-26 as key catalysts amid shifting geopolitics and fan sentiment.

基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於 Mar 22, 2026, 12:12 PM UTC

警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"2026年歐洲歌唱大賽冠軍" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 35 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "芬蘭" at 38%, followed by "法國" at 13%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 38¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 38% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "2026年歐洲歌唱大賽冠軍" has generated $26.9 million in total trading volume since the market launched on Dec 6, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "2026年歐洲歌唱大賽冠軍," browse the 35 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "2026年歐洲歌唱大賽冠軍" is "芬蘭" at 38%, meaning the market assigns a 38% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "法國" at 13%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "2026年歐洲歌唱大賽冠軍" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.

Yes. You don't need to trade to stay informed. This page serves as a live tracker for "2026年歐洲歌唱大賽冠軍." The outcome probabilities update in real-time as new trades come in. You can bookmark this page and check the comments section to see what other traders are saying. You can also use the time-range filters on the chart to see how the odds have shifted over time. It's a free, real-time window into what the market expects to happen.

Polymarket odds are set by real traders putting real money behind their beliefs, which tends to surface accurate predictions. With $26.9 million traded on “2026年歐洲歌唱大賽冠軍,” these prices aggregate the collective knowledge and conviction of thousands of participants — often outperforming polls, expert forecasts, and traditional surveys. Prediction markets like Polymarket have a strong track record of accuracy, especially as events approach their resolution date. For example, Polymarket has a one month accuracy score of 94%. For the latest stats on Polymarket’s prediction accuracy, visit the accuracy page on Polymarket.

To place your first trade on "2026年歐洲歌唱大賽冠軍," sign up for a free Polymarket account and fund it using crypto, a credit or debit card, or a bank transfer. Once your account is funded, return to this page, select the outcome you want to trade, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If you're new to prediction markets, click the "How it works" link at the top of any Polymarket page for a quick step-by-step walkthrough of how trading works.

On Polymarket, the price of each outcome represents the market's implied probability. A price of 38¢ for "芬蘭" in the "2026年歐洲歌唱大賽冠軍" market means traders collectively believe there is roughly a 38% chance that "芬蘭" will be the correct result. If you buy "Yes" shares at 38¢ and the outcome is correct, you receive $1.00 per share — a profit of 62¢ per share. If incorrect, those shares are worth $0.

The "2026年歐洲歌唱大賽冠軍" market is scheduled to resolve on or around May 16, 2026. This means trading will remain open and the odds will continue to shift as new information emerges until that date. The exact resolution timing depends on when the official result becomes available, as outlined in the "Rules" section on this page.

The "2026年歐洲歌唱大賽冠軍" market has an active community of 180 comments where traders share their analysis, debate outcomes, and discuss breaking developments. Scroll down to the comments section below to read what other participants think. You can also filter by "Top Holders" to see what the market's biggest traders are positioned on, or check the "Activity" tab for a real-time feed of trades.

Polymarket is the world's largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge of real-world events. Traders buy and sell shares on outcomes for topics ranging from politics and elections to crypto, finance, sports, tech, and culture, including markets like "2026年歐洲歌唱大賽冠軍." Prices reflect real-time, crowd-sourced probabilities backed by financial conviction, often providing faster and more accurate signals than polls, pundits, or traditional surveys.

2026年歐洲歌唱大賽冠軍

2026年歐洲歌唱大賽冠軍

規則

盤口背景

盤口背景

評論 (180)

頂級持倉者

持倉

動態

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the "2026年歐洲歌唱大賽冠軍" prediction market?

How much trading activity has "2026年歐洲歌唱大賽冠軍" generated on Polymarket?

How do I trade on "2026年歐洲歌唱大賽冠軍"?

What are the current odds for "2026年歐洲歌唱大賽冠軍"?

How will "2026年歐洲歌唱大賽冠軍" be resolved?

Can I follow "2026年歐洲歌唱大賽冠軍" without placing a trade?

Why are Polymarket's odds for "2026年歐洲歌唱大賽冠軍" considered reliable?

How do I start trading on "2026年歐洲歌唱大賽冠軍"?

What does a price of 38¢ for "芬蘭" mean?

When does the "2026年歐洲歌唱大賽冠軍" market close?

What are traders saying about "2026年歐洲歌唱大賽冠軍"?

What is Polymarket?