Trader sentiment for Eurovision 2026 Top 5 markets hinges on perennial powerhouses like Sweden and Ukraine, with implied probabilities around 40-50% for Sweden amid its recent dominance (Loreen’s 2023 win, strong Melodifestivalen pipeline). Early buzz favors acts from Norway and Italy due to 2024’s high placements and diaspora voting strength, while host nation advantage remains unknown pending Switzerland’s May 2025 Basel contest outcome. National selections kick off late 2025—watch Sweden’s Melodifestivalen in February 2026 for frontrunners. Jury-public televote splits and staging innovation historically swing results, making pre-semifinal odds volatile; traders eye EBU participation confirms by December for shifts.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於Eurovision 2026: Top 5
Eurovision 2026: Top 5
$28,173 交易量

Finland
81%

France
69%

Greece
67%

Denmark
62%

Israel
57%

Sweden
43%

Ukraine
36%

Australia
35%

Italy
33%

Cyprus
20%

Czechia
16%

Croatia
16%

Moldova
15%

Albania
14%

Norway
14%

Bulgaria
13%

Latvia
13%

Serbia
13%

Georgia
13%

Armenia
12%

Montenegro
12%

Germany
11%

Switzerland
11%

Lithuania
11%

Poland
10%

United Kingdom
9%

Luxembourg
9%

San Marino
9%

Austria
9%

Belgium
8%

Portugal
7%

Azerbaijan
7%

Estonia
6%

Romania
13%

Malta
20%
$28,173 交易量

Finland
81%

France
69%

Greece
67%

Denmark
62%

Israel
57%

Sweden
43%

Ukraine
36%

Australia
35%

Italy
33%

Cyprus
20%

Czechia
16%

Croatia
16%

Moldova
15%

Albania
14%

Norway
14%

Bulgaria
13%

Latvia
13%

Serbia
13%

Georgia
13%

Armenia
12%

Montenegro
12%

Germany
11%

Switzerland
11%

Lithuania
11%

Poland
10%

United Kingdom
9%

Luxembourg
9%

San Marino
9%

Austria
9%

Belgium
8%

Portugal
7%

Azerbaijan
7%

Estonia
6%

Romania
13%

Malta
20%
If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to finish as one of the top 5 highest scorers based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
市場開放時間: Mar 9, 2026, 6:00 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Resolver
0x65070BE91...Trader sentiment for Eurovision 2026 Top 5 markets hinges on perennial powerhouses like Sweden and Ukraine, with implied probabilities around 40-50% for Sweden amid its recent dominance (Loreen’s 2023 win, strong Melodifestivalen pipeline). Early buzz favors acts from Norway and Italy due to 2024’s high placements and diaspora voting strength, while host nation advantage remains unknown pending Switzerland’s May 2025 Basel contest outcome. National selections kick off late 2025—watch Sweden’s Melodifestivalen in February 2026 for frontrunners. Jury-public televote splits and staging innovation historically swing results, making pre-semifinal odds volatile; traders eye EBU participation confirms by December for shifts.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於
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