Scottie Scheffler's unmatched Augusta National record—two green jackets from 2022 and 2024, plus consistent top-10s—drives his trader consensus lead at 14.5% implied probability for the 2026 Masters winner, but a deep, battle-tested field keeps the race tightly bunched with Bryson DeChambeau (7.5%), Jon Rahm (7.3%), and defending champion Rory McIlroy (6.5%) in striking distance. McIlroy's recovery from a back injury that sidelined him at the Arnold Palmer Invitational last month tempers his pricing despite grand slam pursuit, while DeChambeau rides recent LIV momentum and Rahm leverages his 2023 triumph. Collin Morikawa's fresh back woes and Texas Open withdrawal add uncertainty mid-pack, amplifying the major's volatility amid Scheffler's slight form dip and favorable par-5 scoring edges for contenders.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於Scottie Scheffler 15%
布萊森·德尚博 8%
Jon Rahm 7.3%
羅瑞·麥克羅伊 7%
$63,450,355 交易量
$63,450,355 交易量
Scottie Scheffler
15%
布萊森·德尚博
8%
Jon Rahm
7%
羅瑞·麥克羅伊
7%
盧德維格·阿伯格
5%
桑德·蕭弗利
5%
馬特·費茨派翠克
4%
卡麥隆·楊
3%
湯米·弗利特伍德
3%
賈斯汀·羅斯
3%
松山英樹
3%
科林·森川
3%
阿克沙伊·巴蒂亞
3%
Min Woo Lee
2%
喬丹·史畢斯
2%
布魯克斯·柯普卡
2%
派屈克·瑞德
2%
維克多·霍夫蘭
2%
羅伯特·馬金太爾
2%
塞普·斯特拉卡
2%
Shane Lowry
1%
尼科萊·霍伊加德
1%
Russell Henley
1%
賈斯汀·湯瑪斯
1%
山姆·伯恩斯
1%
泰瑞爾·哈頓
1%
傑森·戴
1%
亞當·斯科特
1%
Joaquin Niemann
1%
派屈克·坎特利
1%
Corey Conners
1%
Maverick McNealy
1%
任成宰
1%
卡梅隆·史密斯
1%
泰勒·潘德里斯
1%
布萊恩·哈曼
1%
拉斯穆斯·霍伊高
1%
威爾·扎拉托利斯
1%
Max Homa
1%
薩希斯·蒂加拉
1%
戴維斯·湯普森
1%
溫德姆·克拉克
<1%
基根·布拉德利
<1%
托尼·費納
<1%
塞爾吉奧·加西亞
<1%
亞倫·拉伊
<1%
比利·霍舍爾
<1%
菲爾·米克爾森
<1%
達斯汀·約翰遜
<1%
托馬斯·德特里
<1%
丹尼·威利特
<1%
湯姆·金
<1%
安秉勳
<1%
查爾·舒瓦策爾
<1%
弗雷德·卡普爾斯
<1%
扎克·約翰遜
<1%
巴巴·華森
<1%
丹尼·麥卡錫
<1%
老虎伍茲
<1%
Scottie Scheffler 15%
布萊森·德尚博 8%
Jon Rahm 7.3%
羅瑞·麥克羅伊 7%
$63,450,355 交易量
$63,450,355 交易量
Scottie Scheffler
15%
布萊森·德尚博
8%
Jon Rahm
7%
羅瑞·麥克羅伊
7%
盧德維格·阿伯格
5%
桑德·蕭弗利
5%
馬特·費茨派翠克
4%
卡麥隆·楊
3%
湯米·弗利特伍德
3%
賈斯汀·羅斯
3%
松山英樹
3%
科林·森川
3%
阿克沙伊·巴蒂亞
3%
Min Woo Lee
2%
喬丹·史畢斯
2%
布魯克斯·柯普卡
2%
派屈克·瑞德
2%
維克多·霍夫蘭
2%
羅伯特·馬金太爾
2%
塞普·斯特拉卡
2%
Shane Lowry
1%
尼科萊·霍伊加德
1%
Russell Henley
1%
賈斯汀·湯瑪斯
1%
山姆·伯恩斯
1%
泰瑞爾·哈頓
1%
傑森·戴
1%
亞當·斯科特
1%
Joaquin Niemann
1%
派屈克·坎特利
1%
Corey Conners
1%
Maverick McNealy
1%
任成宰
1%
卡梅隆·史密斯
1%
泰勒·潘德里斯
1%
布萊恩·哈曼
1%
拉斯穆斯·霍伊高
1%
威爾·扎拉托利斯
1%
Max Homa
1%
薩希斯·蒂加拉
1%
戴維斯·湯普森
1%
溫德姆·克拉克
<1%
基根·布拉德利
<1%
托尼·費納
<1%
塞爾吉奧·加西亞
<1%
亞倫·拉伊
<1%
比利·霍舍爾
<1%
菲爾·米克爾森
<1%
達斯汀·約翰遜
<1%
托馬斯·德特里
<1%
丹尼·威利特
<1%
湯姆·金
<1%
安秉勳
<1%
查爾·舒瓦策爾
<1%
弗雷德·卡普爾斯
<1%
扎克·約翰遜
<1%
巴巴·華森
<1%
丹尼·麥卡錫
<1%
老虎伍茲
<1%
If this player is eliminated from contention for The Masters based on the official rules of the tournament, the relevant market will resolve to "No".
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by The Masters official tournament rules.
If no winner is announced by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution sources will be the official results published by the PGA TOUR website and The Masters website. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
市場開放時間: Aug 28, 2025, 11:48 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If this player is eliminated from contention for The Masters based on the official rules of the tournament, the relevant market will resolve to "No".
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by The Masters official tournament rules.
If no winner is announced by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution sources will be the official results published by the PGA TOUR website and The Masters website. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Scottie Scheffler's unmatched Augusta National record—two green jackets from 2022 and 2024, plus consistent top-10s—drives his trader consensus lead at 14.5% implied probability for the 2026 Masters winner, but a deep, battle-tested field keeps the race tightly bunched with Bryson DeChambeau (7.5%), Jon Rahm (7.3%), and defending champion Rory McIlroy (6.5%) in striking distance. McIlroy's recovery from a back injury that sidelined him at the Arnold Palmer Invitational last month tempers his pricing despite grand slam pursuit, while DeChambeau rides recent LIV momentum and Rahm leverages his 2023 triumph. Collin Morikawa's fresh back woes and Texas Open withdrawal add uncertainty mid-pack, amplifying the major's volatility amid Scheffler's slight form dip and favorable par-5 scoring edges for contenders.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions