Polymarket traders assign a 62% implied probability to Apple (AAPL) closing above $195 by March 29, propelled by accelerating services segment growth—up 11% YoY in Q1 fiscal 2024—and optimism surrounding AI-enhanced Siri at WWDC previews, offsetting iPhone sales softness in China. Shares trade at $192.50 amid elevated P/E of 32x forward earnings, vulnerable to broader tech rotation if 10-year Treasury yields exceed 4.3%. Key catalysts include March 28 CPI report shaping Fed cut odds (now 65% for June per CME FedWatch) and Apple’s April 25 earnings, where guidance above $90B quarterly revenue could sustain momentum; historical March closes average +1.2% for AAPL.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於$251,853 交易量
$210
98%
$220
98%
230美元
94%
$240
81%
250美元
48%
$260
24%
270美元
8%
280美元
14%
$290
1%
300美元
1%
310美元
1%
320美元
1%
$330
1%
$251,853 交易量
$210
98%
$220
98%
230美元
94%
$240
81%
250美元
48%
$260
24%
270美元
8%
280美元
14%
$290
1%
300美元
1%
310美元
1%
320美元
1%
$330
1%
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the Apple (AAPL) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/AAPL/history, published under "Historical Prices."
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance.
市場開放時間: Feb 27, 2026, 6:00 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/AAPL/historyResolver
0x65070BE91...Resolution Source
https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/AAPL/historyResolver
0x65070BE91...Polymarket traders assign a 62% implied probability to Apple (AAPL) closing above $195 by March 29, propelled by accelerating services segment growth—up 11% YoY in Q1 fiscal 2024—and optimism surrounding AI-enhanced Siri at WWDC previews, offsetting iPhone sales softness in China. Shares trade at $192.50 amid elevated P/E of 32x forward earnings, vulnerable to broader tech rotation if 10-year Treasury yields exceed 4.3%. Key catalysts include March 28 CPI report shaping Fed cut odds (now 65% for June per CME FedWatch) and Apple’s April 25 earnings, where guidance above $90B quarterly revenue could sustain momentum; historical March closes average +1.2% for AAPL.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於
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