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Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
35.4¢
43¢

Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
84¢
85.5¢

Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?
86¢
91.5¢

Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?

Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
4.1¢
5.1¢

Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House

Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
4.7¢
4.9¢

Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
12.5¢
12.8¢

Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
22.4¢
25.5¢

Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027?

Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
1.9¢
2.5¢

Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?

Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?
84¢
86.5¢

Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?

Will Linke win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?
32¢
37.5¢

Will Linke win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?

Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31?
17¢
18.5¢

Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31?

US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by August 31?
82¢
85.5¢

2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House
97.6¢
98¢





