The Trump administration’s post-Venezuela maximum-pressure campaign has driven recent trader focus on possible U.S. military action against Cuba, including expanded sanctions, an effective oil import blockade, and a May 2026 federal indictment of former leader Raúl Castro. Naval deployments such as the USS Nimitz carrier group in the Caribbean, stepped-up reconnaissance flights, and public statements from President Trump and Secretary of State Marco Rubio referencing intervention options have reinforced perceptions of contingency planning. Cuba has responded with defensive preparations, rejection of U.S. demands, and claims of acquiring drones from Russia and Iran, while bilateral talks remain stalled. These factors, alongside the absence of imminent strikes according to U.S. officials, shape ongoing assessments of timelines extending through the end of 2026.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHành động quân sự của Hoa Kỳ chống lại Cuba bởi...?
Hành động quân sự của Hoa Kỳ chống lại Cuba bởi...?
$5,290,547 KL.
Dec 31, 2026
31 tháng 12
52%
$5,290,547 KL.
31 tháng 12
$3,111,553 KL.
52%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a US-initiated drone, missile, or air strike on the soil of Cuba is announced or credibly reported to have occurred by the listed date ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including FPV and ATGM strikes as well as cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by any United States operatives, including military forces, intelligence agencies, or other U.S. government operatives, that physically impact ground territory within the listed country.
A strike on any area within the terrestrial territory (including rivers, lakes, ports, but excluding territorial sea) of the listed country counts.
Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they land territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, ground incursions, naval shelling, or cyberattacks will not qualify.
Any strike occurring during this market’s timeframe that is claimed by either Donald Trump or the U.S. government will qualify.
The primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will remain open until the end of the second day after the resolution time. If the date/time of a qualifying strike cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting by that time, it will resolve to "No" regardless of whether a strike was later confirmed to have taken place.The Trump administration’s post-Venezuela maximum-pressure campaign has driven recent trader focus on possible U.S. military action against Cuba, including expanded sanctions, an effective oil import blockade, and a May 2026 federal indictment of former leader Raúl Castro. Naval deployments such as the USS Nimitz carrier group in the Caribbean, stepped-up reconnaissance flights, and public statements from President Trump and Secretary of State Marco Rubio referencing intervention options have reinforced perceptions of contingency planning. Cuba has responded with defensive preparations, rejection of U.S. demands, and claims of acquiring drones from Russia and Iran, while bilateral talks remain stalled. These factors, alongside the absence of imminent strikes according to U.S. officials, shape ongoing assessments of timelines extending through the end of 2026.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a US-initiated drone, missile, or air strike on the soil of Cuba is announced or credibly reported to have occurred by the listed date ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including FPV and ATGM strikes as well as cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by any United States operatives, including military forces, intelligence agencies, or other U.S. government operatives, that physically impact ground territory within the listed country.
A strike on any area within the terrestrial territory (including rivers, lakes, ports, but excluding territorial sea) of the listed country counts.
Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they land territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, ground incursions, naval shelling, or cyberattacks will not qualify.
Any strike occurring during this market’s timeframe that is claimed by either Donald Trump or the U.S. government will qualify.
The primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will remain open until the end of the second day after the resolution time. If the date/time of a qualifying strike cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting by that time, it will resolve to "No" regardless of whether a strike was later confirmed to have taken place.
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including FPV and ATGM strikes as well as cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by any United States operatives, including military forces, intelligence agencies, or other U.S. government operatives, that physically impact ground territory within the listed country.
A strike on any area within the terrestrial territory (including rivers, lakes, ports, but excluding territorial sea) of the listed country counts.
Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they land territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, ground incursions, naval shelling, or cyberattacks will not qualify.
Any strike occurring during this market’s timeframe that is claimed by either Donald Trump or the U.S. government will qualify.
The primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will remain open until the end of the second day after the resolution time. If the date/time of a qualifying strike cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting by that time, it will resolve to "No" regardless of whether a strike was later confirmed to have taken place.
Thị trường mở: Jan 4, 2026, 3:08 PM ET
Khối lượng
$5,290,547Ngày kết thúc
Dec 31, 2026Thị trường mở
Jan 4, 2026, 3:08 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if a US-initiated drone, missile, or air strike on the soil of Cuba is announced or credibly reported to have occurred by the listed date ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including FPV and ATGM strikes as well as cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by any United States operatives, including military forces, intelligence agencies, or other U.S. government operatives, that physically impact ground territory within the listed country.
A strike on any area within the terrestrial territory (including rivers, lakes, ports, but excluding territorial sea) of the listed country counts.
Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they land territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, ground incursions, naval shelling, or cyberattacks will not qualify.
Any strike occurring during this market’s timeframe that is claimed by either Donald Trump or the U.S. government will qualify.
The primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will remain open until the end of the second day after the resolution time. If the date/time of a qualifying strike cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting by that time, it will resolve to "No" regardless of whether a strike was later confirmed to have taken place.The Trump administration’s post-Venezuela maximum-pressure campaign has driven recent trader focus on possible U.S. military action against Cuba, including expanded sanctions, an effective oil import blockade, and a May 2026 federal indictment of former leader Raúl Castro. Naval deployments such as the USS Nimitz carrier group in the Caribbean, stepped-up reconnaissance flights, and public statements from President Trump and Secretary of State Marco Rubio referencing intervention options have reinforced perceptions of contingency planning. Cuba has responded with defensive preparations, rejection of U.S. demands, and claims of acquiring drones from Russia and Iran, while bilateral talks remain stalled. These factors, alongside the absence of imminent strikes according to U.S. officials, shape ongoing assessments of timelines extending through the end of 2026.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a US-initiated drone, missile, or air strike on the soil of Cuba is announced or credibly reported to have occurred by the listed date ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including FPV and ATGM strikes as well as cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by any United States operatives, including military forces, intelligence agencies, or other U.S. government operatives, that physically impact ground territory within the listed country.
A strike on any area within the terrestrial territory (including rivers, lakes, ports, but excluding territorial sea) of the listed country counts.
Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they land territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, ground incursions, naval shelling, or cyberattacks will not qualify.
Any strike occurring during this market’s timeframe that is claimed by either Donald Trump or the U.S. government will qualify.
The primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will remain open until the end of the second day after the resolution time. If the date/time of a qualifying strike cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting by that time, it will resolve to "No" regardless of whether a strike was later confirmed to have taken place.
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including FPV and ATGM strikes as well as cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by any United States operatives, including military forces, intelligence agencies, or other U.S. government operatives, that physically impact ground territory within the listed country.
A strike on any area within the terrestrial territory (including rivers, lakes, ports, but excluding territorial sea) of the listed country counts.
Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they land territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, ground incursions, naval shelling, or cyberattacks will not qualify.
Any strike occurring during this market’s timeframe that is claimed by either Donald Trump or the U.S. government will qualify.
The primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will remain open until the end of the second day after the resolution time. If the date/time of a qualifying strike cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting by that time, it will resolve to "No" regardless of whether a strike was later confirmed to have taken place.
Khối lượng
$5,290,547Ngày kết thúc
Dec 31, 2026Thị trường mở
Jan 4, 2026, 3:08 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...The Trump administration’s post-Venezuela maximum-pressure campaign has driven recent trader focus on possible U.S. military action against Cuba, including expanded sanctions, an effective oil import blockade, and a May 2026 federal indictment of former leader Raúl Castro. Naval deployments such as the USS Nimitz carrier group in the Caribbean, stepped-up reconnaissance flights, and public statements from President Trump and Secretary of State Marco Rubio referencing intervention options have reinforced perceptions of contingency planning. Cuba has responded with defensive preparations, rejection of U.S. demands, and claims of acquiring drones from Russia and Iran, while bilateral talks remain stalled. These factors, alongside the absence of imminent strikes according to U.S. officials, shape ongoing assessments of timelines extending through the end of 2026.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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