Trader consensus prices high odds on President Trump saying "Sleepy Joe" at 73% and dancing at 81% during tonight's White House Correspondents' Association Dinner—his first attendance after years of absence—fueled by his history of rhythmic movements at events and signature nicknames for opponents like Joe Biden. Lower probabilities reflect no executive order published on whitehouse.gov as of midday ET (30% Yes), sparse visuals confirming a red tie (23% Yes), and stalled U.S.-China relations amid Hormuz tensions precluding talks with Xi Jinping (2% Yes). Recent catalysts include Trump's morning press gaggle in Palm Beach en route to Washington and cancellation of envoy trips to Pakistan as Iran ceasefire diplomacy falters, with no market-moving legal or policy announcements today. Resolution hinges on verifiable video, official sources, or reporting by midnight ET.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật$3,668 KL.
Apr 25, 2026
Trump dances
46%
Trump signs an executive order
16%
Trump wears a red tie
10%
Trump says "Sleepy Joe"
53%
Trump talks to Xi Jinping
1%
$3,668 KL.
Trump dances
$43 KL.
46%
Trump signs an executive order
$49 KL.
16%
Trump wears a red tie
$319 KL.
10%
Trump says "Sleepy Joe"
$1,470 KL.
53%
Trump talks to Xi Jinping
$1,804 KL.
1%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump dances between 12:00AM ET and 11:59PM ET on April 25, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
"Dancing" is defined as deliberate, rhythmic body movement typically matched music or a beat, such as swaying, stepping, or coordinated hand or body motions. Casual gesturing, clapping, or incidental body movement will not qualify. Dancing without the presence of music or a beat will qualify.
AI-generated content, deepfakes, or altered footage will not be considered.
Videos posted on his social media which were filmed outside this market's time frame will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
This market will resolve based on video.This market will resolve "Yes" if Donald Trump signs an executive order on April 25, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Executive actions will not qualify toward this market’s resolution.
This market will immediately resolve "Yes" if the text of an executive order for the given day is published on the White House page for presidential actions (https://www.whitehouse.gov/presidential-actions/) or the White House press pool. Mere announcements will not qualify.
If no executive order is published by 12:00 PM ET the day after the listed date of this market, this market will resolve to “No”.
In the case of ambiguity this market may remain open until it is confirmed by the federal register.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump wears a red tie at any point on April 25, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The color will be determined by the most visually dominant color visible in publicly available photos or videos. For example, for the tie to be considered predominantly blue, its primary color must be a shade of blue, though it may feature other colors as part of a pattern. This tie would count as "Blue": https://i.ytimg.com/vi/20w7J2JAmqw/maxresdefault.jpg
The following tie has no distinguishable predominant color, and thus would resolve to "No". https://www.usatoday.com/gcdn/authoring/authoring-images/2025/01/20/USAT/77837111007-xxx-dcmg-105-5190802.jpg
If Donald Trump does not wear a tie or if no photos or video are released from the listed date, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump says the listed term on April 25, 2026. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
Plural and possessive forms of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market regardless of context; however, other forms will NOT count.
Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g., joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however, "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy").
If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once).
A ‘mention’ will include any verbal mention which is recorded (audio or video) and publicly accessible.
Written usages of terms (e.g. Truth Social posts, written statements, etc.) will not count toward this market's resolution.
AI-generated audio or video will not count toward this market's resolution.
Videos posted on his social media which were filmed outside this market's time frame will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual talks with Donald Trump on April 25, 2026. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No".
A talk is defined as any interaction between the listed individual and Donald Trump, occurring either in person or through verbal communication by phone or video call.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.Trader consensus prices high odds on President Trump saying "Sleepy Joe" at 73% and dancing at 81% during tonight's White House Correspondents' Association Dinner—his first attendance after years of absence—fueled by his history of rhythmic movements at events and signature nicknames for opponents like Joe Biden. Lower probabilities reflect no executive order published on whitehouse.gov as of midday ET (30% Yes), sparse visuals confirming a red tie (23% Yes), and stalled U.S.-China relations amid Hormuz tensions precluding talks with Xi Jinping (2% Yes). Recent catalysts include Trump's morning press gaggle in Palm Beach en route to Washington and cancellation of envoy trips to Pakistan as Iran ceasefire diplomacy falters, with no market-moving legal or policy announcements today. Resolution hinges on verifiable video, official sources, or reporting by midnight ET.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump dances between 12:00AM ET and 11:59PM ET on April 25, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
"Dancing" is defined as deliberate, rhythmic body movement typically matched music or a beat, such as swaying, stepping, or coordinated hand or body motions. Casual gesturing, clapping, or incidental body movement will not qualify. Dancing without the presence of music or a beat will qualify.
AI-generated content, deepfakes, or altered footage will not be considered.
Videos posted on his social media which were filmed outside this market's time frame will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
This market will resolve based on video.
"Dancing" is defined as deliberate, rhythmic body movement typically matched music or a beat, such as swaying, stepping, or coordinated hand or body motions. Casual gesturing, clapping, or incidental body movement will not qualify. Dancing without the presence of music or a beat will qualify.
AI-generated content, deepfakes, or altered footage will not be considered.
Videos posted on his social media which were filmed outside this market's time frame will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
This market will resolve based on video.
Thị trường mở: Apr 24, 2026, 6:32 PM ET
Khối lượng
$3,668Ngày kết thúc
Apr 25, 2026Thị trường mở
Apr 24, 2026, 6:32 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump dances between 12:00AM ET and 11:59PM ET on April 25, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
"Dancing" is defined as deliberate, rhythmic body movement typically matched music or a beat, such as swaying, stepping, or coordinated hand or body motions. Casual gesturing, clapping, or incidental body movement will not qualify. Dancing without the presence of music or a beat will qualify.
AI-generated content, deepfakes, or altered footage will not be considered.
Videos posted on his social media which were filmed outside this market's time frame will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
This market will resolve based on video.This market will resolve "Yes" if Donald Trump signs an executive order on April 25, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Executive actions will not qualify toward this market’s resolution.
This market will immediately resolve "Yes" if the text of an executive order for the given day is published on the White House page for presidential actions (https://www.whitehouse.gov/presidential-actions/) or the White House press pool. Mere announcements will not qualify.
If no executive order is published by 12:00 PM ET the day after the listed date of this market, this market will resolve to “No”.
In the case of ambiguity this market may remain open until it is confirmed by the federal register.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump wears a red tie at any point on April 25, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The color will be determined by the most visually dominant color visible in publicly available photos or videos. For example, for the tie to be considered predominantly blue, its primary color must be a shade of blue, though it may feature other colors as part of a pattern. This tie would count as "Blue": https://i.ytimg.com/vi/20w7J2JAmqw/maxresdefault.jpg
The following tie has no distinguishable predominant color, and thus would resolve to "No". https://www.usatoday.com/gcdn/authoring/authoring-images/2025/01/20/USAT/77837111007-xxx-dcmg-105-5190802.jpg
If Donald Trump does not wear a tie or if no photos or video are released from the listed date, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump says the listed term on April 25, 2026. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
Plural and possessive forms of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market regardless of context; however, other forms will NOT count.
Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g., joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however, "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy").
If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once).
A ‘mention’ will include any verbal mention which is recorded (audio or video) and publicly accessible.
Written usages of terms (e.g. Truth Social posts, written statements, etc.) will not count toward this market's resolution.
AI-generated audio or video will not count toward this market's resolution.
Videos posted on his social media which were filmed outside this market's time frame will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual talks with Donald Trump on April 25, 2026. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No".
A talk is defined as any interaction between the listed individual and Donald Trump, occurring either in person or through verbal communication by phone or video call.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.Trader consensus prices high odds on President Trump saying "Sleepy Joe" at 73% and dancing at 81% during tonight's White House Correspondents' Association Dinner—his first attendance after years of absence—fueled by his history of rhythmic movements at events and signature nicknames for opponents like Joe Biden. Lower probabilities reflect no executive order published on whitehouse.gov as of midday ET (30% Yes), sparse visuals confirming a red tie (23% Yes), and stalled U.S.-China relations amid Hormuz tensions precluding talks with Xi Jinping (2% Yes). Recent catalysts include Trump's morning press gaggle in Palm Beach en route to Washington and cancellation of envoy trips to Pakistan as Iran ceasefire diplomacy falters, with no market-moving legal or policy announcements today. Resolution hinges on verifiable video, official sources, or reporting by midnight ET.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump dances between 12:00AM ET and 11:59PM ET on April 25, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
"Dancing" is defined as deliberate, rhythmic body movement typically matched music or a beat, such as swaying, stepping, or coordinated hand or body motions. Casual gesturing, clapping, or incidental body movement will not qualify. Dancing without the presence of music or a beat will qualify.
AI-generated content, deepfakes, or altered footage will not be considered.
Videos posted on his social media which were filmed outside this market's time frame will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
This market will resolve based on video.
"Dancing" is defined as deliberate, rhythmic body movement typically matched music or a beat, such as swaying, stepping, or coordinated hand or body motions. Casual gesturing, clapping, or incidental body movement will not qualify. Dancing without the presence of music or a beat will qualify.
AI-generated content, deepfakes, or altered footage will not be considered.
Videos posted on his social media which were filmed outside this market's time frame will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
This market will resolve based on video.
Khối lượng
$3,668Ngày kết thúc
Apr 25, 2026Thị trường mở
Apr 24, 2026, 6:32 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus prices high odds on President Trump saying "Sleepy Joe" at 73% and dancing at 81% during tonight's White House Correspondents' Association Dinner—his first attendance after years of absence—fueled by his history of rhythmic movements at events and signature nicknames for opponents like Joe Biden. Lower probabilities reflect no executive order published on whitehouse.gov as of midday ET (30% Yes), sparse visuals confirming a red tie (23% Yes), and stalled U.S.-China relations amid Hormuz tensions precluding talks with Xi Jinping (2% Yes). Recent catalysts include Trump's morning press gaggle in Palm Beach en route to Washington and cancellation of envoy trips to Pakistan as Iran ceasefire diplomacy falters, with no market-moving legal or policy announcements today. Resolution hinges on verifiable video, official sources, or reporting by midnight ET.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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