Ongoing indirect US-Iran contacts, mediated primarily by Oman and Pakistan, continue amid stalled nuclear and ceasefire discussions, with Iranian officials repeatedly conditioning further progress on US economic concessions, sanctions relief, and guarantees tied to the nuclear program and Strait of Hormuz access. Recent limited exchanges of fire in early June 2026 over tanker transit have reinforced caution, while US representatives including Steve Witkoff and Jared Kushner have participated in prior mediated sessions alongside Iranian Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi. Traders assess that any next meeting will likely remain indirect through third-party hosts until core disputes narrow, with potential resumption windows in Vienna or Doha dependent on de-escalation signals from both capitals before the current 60-day negotiation timelines expire.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật$1,328,460 KL.
Donald Trump
4%
Marco Rubio
8%
J.D. Vance
13%
Jared Kushner
29%
Steve Witkoff
27%
$1,328,460 KL.
Donald Trump
4%
Marco Rubio
8%
J.D. Vance
13%
Jared Kushner
29%
Steve Witkoff
27%
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding US-Iranian relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not qualify as diplomatic meetings.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
Attendance refers to the listed individual being physically present and actively participating in negotiations at the meeting.
If the next diplomatic meeting between representatives of the United States and Iran takes place over multiple days, attendance at any part of the meeting will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the listed individual and the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Thị trường mở: Apr 14, 2026, 6:36 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding US-Iranian relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not qualify as diplomatic meetings.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
Attendance refers to the listed individual being physically present and actively participating in negotiations at the meeting.
If the next diplomatic meeting between representatives of the United States and Iran takes place over multiple days, attendance at any part of the meeting will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the listed individual and the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Ongoing indirect US-Iran contacts, mediated primarily by Oman and Pakistan, continue amid stalled nuclear and ceasefire discussions, with Iranian officials repeatedly conditioning further progress on US economic concessions, sanctions relief, and guarantees tied to the nuclear program and Strait of Hormuz access. Recent limited exchanges of fire in early June 2026 over tanker transit have reinforced caution, while US representatives including Steve Witkoff and Jared Kushner have participated in prior mediated sessions alongside Iranian Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi. Traders assess that any next meeting will likely remain indirect through third-party hosts until core disputes narrow, with potential resumption windows in Vienna or Doha dependent on de-escalation signals from both capitals before the current 60-day negotiation timelines expire.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
Cẩn thận với liên kết bên ngoài.
Cẩn thận với liên kết bên ngoài.
Câu hỏi thường gặp