Incumbent Rep. Brian Babin (R) secured the Republican nomination for Texas' 36th Congressional District with an 81% primary win on March 3, solidifying his path in this R+18 Cook PVI seat rated Solid Republican. Democrat Rhonda Hart advanced with 64% in her low-turnout primary, but trails dramatically in fundraising—Babin holds $930,000 cash on hand versus Hart's $4,000 as of late March. Babin's consistent 69-73% general election margins since 2014, bolstered by the district's post-redistricting Republican lean extending to Lufkin, drive trader consensus toward GOP at 87%. No polling exists, and no major developments have emerged in the past 30 days ahead of the November 3 general election; a Democratic upset would require extraordinary turnout shifts in this safe Republican battleground.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоTX-36 House Election Winner
TX-36 House Election Winner
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
87%
Democratic Party
12%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
$2,409 Обс.
87%
Democratic Party
$0 Обс.
12%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-36 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Rep. Brian Babin (R) secured the Republican nomination for Texas' 36th Congressional District with an 81% primary win on March 3, solidifying his path in this R+18 Cook PVI seat rated Solid Republican. Democrat Rhonda Hart advanced with 64% in her low-turnout primary, but trails dramatically in fundraising—Babin holds $930,000 cash on hand versus Hart's $4,000 as of late March. Babin's consistent 69-73% general election margins since 2014, bolstered by the district's post-redistricting Republican lean extending to Lufkin, drive trader consensus toward GOP at 87%. No polling exists, and no major developments have emerged in the past 30 days ahead of the November 3 general election; a Democratic upset would require extraordinary turnout shifts in this safe Republican battleground.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-36 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Ринок відкрито: Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
Обсяг
$2,409Дата завершення
Nov 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-36 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Rep. Brian Babin (R) secured the Republican nomination for Texas' 36th Congressional District with an 81% primary win on March 3, solidifying his path in this R+18 Cook PVI seat rated Solid Republican. Democrat Rhonda Hart advanced with 64% in her low-turnout primary, but trails dramatically in fundraising—Babin holds $930,000 cash on hand versus Hart's $4,000 as of late March. Babin's consistent 69-73% general election margins since 2014, bolstered by the district's post-redistricting Republican lean extending to Lufkin, drive trader consensus toward GOP at 87%. No polling exists, and no major developments have emerged in the past 30 days ahead of the November 3 general election; a Democratic upset would require extraordinary turnout shifts in this safe Republican battleground.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-36 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Обсяг
$2,409Дата завершення
Nov 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Rep. Brian Babin (R) secured the Republican nomination for Texas' 36th Congressional District with an 81% primary win on March 3, solidifying his path in this R+18 Cook PVI seat rated Solid Republican. Democrat Rhonda Hart advanced with 64% in her low-turnout primary, but trails dramatically in fundraising—Babin holds $930,000 cash on hand versus Hart's $4,000 as of late March. Babin's consistent 69-73% general election margins since 2014, bolstered by the district's post-redistricting Republican lean extending to Lufkin, drive trader consensus toward GOP at 87%. No polling exists, and no major developments have emerged in the past 30 days ahead of the November 3 general election; a Democratic upset would require extraordinary turnout shifts in this safe Republican battleground.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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