Incumbent Republican Greg Murphy faces Democrat Raymond Smith Jr. in North Carolina's 3rd congressional district on November 3, 2026. The district's Republican lean, reflected in its partisan voting index and historical results including a projected 14-point Trump margin under the current map, underpins trader consensus favoring the Republican nominee. Smith secured the Democratic nomination in the March 3 primary but confronts an incumbent with substantial fundraising and a district that has consistently supported Republican candidates. Cook Political Report rates the race Likely Republican, highlighting limited credible Democratic challengers and structural barriers to a flip even after recent redistricting. These elements sustain the wide gap in implied probabilities ahead of the general election.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоNC-03 House Election Winner
NC-03 House Election Winner
$18,697 Обс.
$18,697 Обс.
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
86%
Democratic Party
13%
$18,697 Обс.
$18,697 Обс.
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
$14,068 Обс.
86%
Democratic Party
$4,628 Обс.
13%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NC-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Greg Murphy faces Democrat Raymond Smith Jr. in North Carolina's 3rd congressional district on November 3, 2026. The district's Republican lean, reflected in its partisan voting index and historical results including a projected 14-point Trump margin under the current map, underpins trader consensus favoring the Republican nominee. Smith secured the Democratic nomination in the March 3 primary but confronts an incumbent with substantial fundraising and a district that has consistently supported Republican candidates. Cook Political Report rates the race Likely Republican, highlighting limited credible Democratic challengers and structural barriers to a flip even after recent redistricting. These elements sustain the wide gap in implied probabilities ahead of the general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NC-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Ринок відкрито: Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ET
Обсяг
$18,697Дата завершення
Nov 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NC-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Greg Murphy faces Democrat Raymond Smith Jr. in North Carolina's 3rd congressional district on November 3, 2026. The district's Republican lean, reflected in its partisan voting index and historical results including a projected 14-point Trump margin under the current map, underpins trader consensus favoring the Republican nominee. Smith secured the Democratic nomination in the March 3 primary but confronts an incumbent with substantial fundraising and a district that has consistently supported Republican candidates. Cook Political Report rates the race Likely Republican, highlighting limited credible Democratic challengers and structural barriers to a flip even after recent redistricting. These elements sustain the wide gap in implied probabilities ahead of the general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NC-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Обсяг
$18,697Дата завершення
Nov 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Greg Murphy faces Democrat Raymond Smith Jr. in North Carolina's 3rd congressional district on November 3, 2026. The district's Republican lean, reflected in its partisan voting index and historical results including a projected 14-point Trump margin under the current map, underpins trader consensus favoring the Republican nominee. Smith secured the Democratic nomination in the March 3 primary but confronts an incumbent with substantial fundraising and a district that has consistently supported Republican candidates. Cook Political Report rates the race Likely Republican, highlighting limited credible Democratic challengers and structural barriers to a flip even after recent redistricting. These elements sustain the wide gap in implied probabilities ahead of the general election.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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