Greg Murphy holds a strong position as the four-term Republican incumbent in North Carolina’s 3rd congressional district ahead of the November 3 general election. The district, redrawn in October 2025 to include Wilson County, remains Republican-leaning despite boundary adjustments that slightly reduced its partisan edge. Forecasters rate the race Solid or Likely Republican, with Sabato’s Crystal Ball shifting it from Safe Republican on September 29 after Democratic groups spent over $300,000 opposing Murphy since July. Murphy emphasizes his background as a physician and legislative record on healthcare costs, agriculture, and veterans’ issues. Smith, a Democratic former state legislator and Gulf War veteran who won his March primary, has focused on community events and forums but trails in available polling and faces limited outside support relative to the incumbent’s advantages.