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Політика·Первинні

TX-18 Democratic Primary Winner

icon for TX-18 Democratic Primary Winner
Політика·Первинні

TX-18 Democratic Primary Winner

Christian Menefee 84.3%

Al Green 14.6%

Amanda Edwards <1%

Gretchen Brown <1%

Polymarket

$24,451 Обс.

Christian Menefee 84.3%

Al Green 14.6%

Amanda Edwards <1%

Gretchen Brown <1%

Polymarket

$24,451 Обс.

Christian Menefee

$14,978 Обс.

84%

Al Green

$4,063 Обс.

15%

Amanda Edwards

$2,525 Обс.

<1%

Gretchen Brown

$2,885 Обс.

<1%

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the TX-18 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on March 3, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Trader consensus in the TX-18 Democratic primary runoff heavily favors incumbent Rep. Christian Menefee at 86% implied probability over veteran Rep. Al Green (14%), reflecting his polling leads and fundraising edge amid redistricting that pitted the two Houston-area Democrats against each other. Menefee, 38, recently won a special election in February 2026 to fill the seat after Sylvester Turner's death, building momentum as the top vote-getter in the March 3 primary where neither reached 50%. Recent surveys, including a NYT aggregate showing Menefee +6 (41%-35%) and UH Hobby School data indicating wider margins, alongside first-quarter filings revealing Menefee raising over $1 million—double Green's—bolster his frontrunner status heading into the May 26 runoff. Minor candidates trail far behind.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the TX-18 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on March 3, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Обсяг
$24,451
Дата завершення
May 26, 2026
Ринок відкрито
Feb 4, 2026, 5:13 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the TX-18 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on March 3, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the TX-18 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on March 3, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Trader consensus in the TX-18 Democratic primary runoff heavily favors incumbent Rep. Christian Menefee at 86% implied probability over veteran Rep. Al Green (14%), reflecting his polling leads and fundraising edge amid redistricting that pitted the two Houston-area Democrats against each other. Menefee, 38, recently won a special election in February 2026 to fill the seat after Sylvester Turner's death, building momentum as the top vote-getter in the March 3 primary where neither reached 50%. Recent surveys, including a NYT aggregate showing Menefee +6 (41%-35%) and UH Hobby School data indicating wider margins, alongside first-quarter filings revealing Menefee raising over $1 million—double Green's—bolster his frontrunner status heading into the May 26 runoff. Minor candidates trail far behind.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the TX-18 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on March 3, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Обсяг
$24,451
Дата завершення
May 26, 2026
Ринок відкрито
Feb 4, 2026, 5:13 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the TX-18 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on March 3, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.

Часті запитання

«TX-18 Democratic Primary Winner» — це ринок прогнозів на Polymarket з 4 можливими результатами, де трейдери купують і продають акції залежно від того, що, на їхню думку, станеться. Поточний лідер — «Christian Menefee» з 84%, далі «Al Green» з 15%. Ціни відображають краудсорсингові ймовірності в реальному часі. Акції правильного результату погашаються по $1 кожна при вирішенні ринку.

Станом на сьогодні, «TX-18 Democratic Primary Winner» згенерував $24.5K загального обсягу торгів з моменту запуску ринку Feb 4, 2026. Цей рівень торгової активності відображає сильну залученість спільноти Polymarket та забезпечує, що поточні шанси базуються на глибокому пулі учасників ринку. Ви можете відстежувати рухи цін наживо та торгувати будь-яким результатом прямо на цій сторінці.

Щоб торгувати на «TX-18 Democratic Primary Winner», перегляньте 4 доступних результатів на цій сторінці. Кожен результат відображає поточну ціну — ймовірність ринку. Оберіть результат, оберіть «Так» чи «Ні», введіть суму та натисніть «Торгувати». Якщо ваш вибір правильний при вирішенні, акції «Так» виплачують $1. Якщо ні — $0. Ви також можете продати акції в будь-який час до вирішення.

Поточний фаворит для «TX-18 Democratic Primary Winner» — «Christian Menefee» з 84%. Наступний — «Al Green» з 15%. Ці шанси оновлюються в реальному часі, коли трейдери купують і продають акції. Слідкуйте за змінами шансів з появою нової інформації.

Правила вирішення для «TX-18 Democratic Primary Winner» точно визначають, що має статися для оголошення переможця — включаючи офіційні джерела даних. Ви можете переглянути повні критерії вирішення в розділі «Правила» на цій сторінці. Рекомендуємо уважно прочитати правила перед торгівлею.