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Вибори·Флорида

FL-20 Democratic Primary Winner

icon for FL-20 Democratic Primary Winner
Вибори·Флорида

FL-20 Democratic Primary Winner

Elijah Manley 46%

Dale Holness 17%

Maisha Williams 6.0%

Mark Douglas 5.3%

Polymarket
НОВЕ

Elijah Manley 46%

Dale Holness 17%

Maisha Williams 6.0%

Mark Douglas 5.3%

Polymarket
НОВЕ

Elijah Manley

$1,830 Обс.

32%

Dale Holness

$499 Обс.

37%

Maisha Williams

$284 Обс.

6%

Mark Douglas

$259 Обс.

5%

Luther Campbell

$249 Обс.

5%

Sheila Cherfilus-McCormick

$770 Обс.

2%

Rudy Moise

$480 Обс.

1%

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the FL-20 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 18, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Following Rep. Sheila Cherfilus-McCormick's April 21 resignation amid a House Ethics Committee probe into campaign finance issues, Florida's 20th Congressional District Democratic primary on August 18 remains a tight open-seat contest, with trader consensus giving former Broward commissioner Dale Holness a narrow edge at 36.5% implied probability over progressive organizer Elijah Manley at 29.5%. Early 2026 polls from Listener Group showed Manley leading amid anti-incumbent sentiment, but no recent surveys have emerged, leaving odds driven by Holness' local name recognition and government experience versus Manley's grassroots momentum and endorsements like the Alliance 4 American Leadership PAC. Rapper Luther Campbell's late April entry has fragmented support, while upcoming fundraising disclosures, debates, or party endorsements could tip the balance in this crowded field of seven contenders.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the FL-20 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 18, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Обсяг
$4,371
Дата завершення
Aug 18, 2026
Ринок відкрито
Apr 22, 2026, 1:10 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the FL-20 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 18, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the FL-20 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 18, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Following Rep. Sheila Cherfilus-McCormick's April 21 resignation amid a House Ethics Committee probe into campaign finance issues, Florida's 20th Congressional District Democratic primary on August 18 remains a tight open-seat contest, with trader consensus giving former Broward commissioner Dale Holness a narrow edge at 36.5% implied probability over progressive organizer Elijah Manley at 29.5%. Early 2026 polls from Listener Group showed Manley leading amid anti-incumbent sentiment, but no recent surveys have emerged, leaving odds driven by Holness' local name recognition and government experience versus Manley's grassroots momentum and endorsements like the Alliance 4 American Leadership PAC. Rapper Luther Campbell's late April entry has fragmented support, while upcoming fundraising disclosures, debates, or party endorsements could tip the balance in this crowded field of seven contenders.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the FL-20 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 18, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Обсяг
$4,371
Дата завершення
Aug 18, 2026
Ринок відкрито
Apr 22, 2026, 1:10 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the FL-20 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 18, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.

Часті запитання

«FL-20 Democratic Primary Winner» — це ринок прогнозів на Polymarket з 7 можливими результатами, де трейдери купують і продають акції залежно від того, що, на їхню думку, станеться. Поточний лідер — «Dale Holness» з 37%, далі «Elijah Manley» з 32%. Ціни відображають краудсорсингові ймовірності в реальному часі. Акції правильного результату погашаються по $1 кожна при вирішенні ринку.

«FL-20 Democratic Primary Winner» — це нещодавно створений ринок на Polymarket, запущений Apr 22, 2026. Як ранній ринок, це ваша можливість бути серед перших трейдерів, що встановлюють шанси. Ви також можете зберегти цю сторінку в закладки для відстеження обсягу.

Щоб торгувати на «FL-20 Democratic Primary Winner», перегляньте 7 доступних результатів на цій сторінці. Кожен результат відображає поточну ціну — ймовірність ринку. Оберіть результат, оберіть «Так» чи «Ні», введіть суму та натисніть «Торгувати». Якщо ваш вибір правильний при вирішенні, акції «Так» виплачують $1. Якщо ні — $0. Ви також можете продати акції в будь-який час до вирішення.

Поточний фаворит для «FL-20 Democratic Primary Winner» — «Dale Holness» з 37%. Наступний — «Elijah Manley» з 32%. Ці шанси оновлюються в реальному часі, коли трейдери купують і продають акції. Слідкуйте за змінами шансів з появою нової інформації.

Правила вирішення для «FL-20 Democratic Primary Winner» точно визначають, що має статися для оголошення переможця — включаючи офіційні джерела даних. Ви можете переглянути повні критерії вирішення в розділі «Правила» на цій сторінці. Рекомендуємо уважно прочитати правила перед торгівлею.