Incumbent Wesley Bell's commanding fundraising advantage—over $1.2 million cash on hand versus Cori Bush's $121,000—along with his 2024 primary victory in Missouri's 1st Congressional District, anchors trader consensus at 69.5% for Bell in the August 4, 2026 Democratic primary. Bush, the former representative mounting a rematch, gained traction from a recent campaign-commissioned HIT Strategies poll showing them statistically tied (40% Bush, 44% Bell, 17% undecided), but traders remain skeptical of the internal survey amid Bell's AIPAC endorsement and prior win. Bell's challenge this week for a debate series underscores his confidence, with no independent polls yet shifting the closely watched race.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоWesley Bell
70%
Cori Bush
31%
Wesley Bell
70%
Cori Bush
31%
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Ринок відкрито: Nov 25, 2025, 4:43 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Wesley Bell's commanding fundraising advantage—over $1.2 million cash on hand versus Cori Bush's $121,000—along with his 2024 primary victory in Missouri's 1st Congressional District, anchors trader consensus at 69.5% for Bell in the August 4, 2026 Democratic primary. Bush, the former representative mounting a rematch, gained traction from a recent campaign-commissioned HIT Strategies poll showing them statistically tied (40% Bush, 44% Bell, 17% undecided), but traders remain skeptical of the internal survey amid Bell's AIPAC endorsement and prior win. Bell's challenge this week for a debate series underscores his confidence, with no independent polls yet shifting the closely watched race.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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