Voter turnout in the October 5 Quebec general election has centered trader expectations around the 66-70% range, reflecting historical baselines from the 2022 and 2018 contests near 66% alongside a competitive multi-party campaign. Recent polls show the Parti Québécois holding a narrow lead near 29%, with the Liberals, Coalition Avenir Québec, and others in contention across many ridings, a dynamic that typically lifts participation through heightened mobilization and vote efficiency concerns. Debates in September and ongoing pre-campaign activity since the August call have sustained visibility, yet structural factors such as persistently low youth engagement—around 54% among 18-24 year olds in 2022—and minimal Indigenous community participation continue to exert downward pressure. Absent major late-breaking events that could sharply increase engagement, the market consensus aligns with modest gains over recent cycles tempered by these demographic patterns.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено66-70% 38%
70-74% 22%
62-66% 22%
58-62% 11%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Oct 5, 2026
<58%
9%
58-62%
10%
62-66%
16%
66-70%
38%
70-74%
22%
74%+
10%
66-70% 38%
70-74% 22%
62-66% 22%
58-62% 11%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Oct 5, 2026
<58%
$384 Обс.
9%
58-62%
$100 Обс.
10%
62-66%
$128 Обс.
16%
66-70%
$269 Обс.
38%
70-74%
$196 Обс.
22%
74%+
$242 Обс.
10%
Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate for the next Quebec general election, defined as the total number of votes cast divided by the total number of eligible voters (see 2022 example: https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/en/results-and-statistics/general-election-results/2022-10-03/).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
If the results of this election are not known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be official information published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).Voter turnout in the October 5 Quebec general election has centered trader expectations around the 66-70% range, reflecting historical baselines from the 2022 and 2018 contests near 66% alongside a competitive multi-party campaign. Recent polls show the Parti Québécois holding a narrow lead near 29%, with the Liberals, Coalition Avenir Québec, and others in contention across many ridings, a dynamic that typically lifts participation through heightened mobilization and vote efficiency concerns. Debates in September and ongoing pre-campaign activity since the August call have sustained visibility, yet structural factors such as persistently low youth engagement—around 54% among 18-24 year olds in 2022—and minimal Indigenous community participation continue to exert downward pressure. Absent major late-breaking events that could sharply increase engagement, the market consensus aligns with modest gains over recent cycles tempered by these demographic patterns.
Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate for the next Quebec general election, defined as the total number of votes cast divided by the total number of eligible voters (see 2022 example: https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/en/results-and-statistics/general-election-results/2022-10-03/).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
If the results of this election are not known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be official information published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).
This market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate for the next Quebec general election, defined as the total number of votes cast divided by the total number of eligible voters (see 2022 example: https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/en/results-and-statistics/general-election-results/2022-10-03/).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
If the results of this election are not known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be official information published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).
Ринок відкрито: Aug 31, 2026, 3:10 PM ET
Обсяг
$1,319Дата завершення
Oct 5, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 31, 2026, 3:10 PM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.electionsquebec.qc.caВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate for the next Quebec general election, defined as the total number of votes cast divided by the total number of eligible voters (see 2022 example: https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/en/results-and-statistics/general-election-results/2022-10-03/).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
If the results of this election are not known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be official information published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).Voter turnout in the October 5 Quebec general election has centered trader expectations around the 66-70% range, reflecting historical baselines from the 2022 and 2018 contests near 66% alongside a competitive multi-party campaign. Recent polls show the Parti Québécois holding a narrow lead near 29%, with the Liberals, Coalition Avenir Québec, and others in contention across many ridings, a dynamic that typically lifts participation through heightened mobilization and vote efficiency concerns. Debates in September and ongoing pre-campaign activity since the August call have sustained visibility, yet structural factors such as persistently low youth engagement—around 54% among 18-24 year olds in 2022—and minimal Indigenous community participation continue to exert downward pressure. Absent major late-breaking events that could sharply increase engagement, the market consensus aligns with modest gains over recent cycles tempered by these demographic patterns.
Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate for the next Quebec general election, defined as the total number of votes cast divided by the total number of eligible voters (see 2022 example: https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/en/results-and-statistics/general-election-results/2022-10-03/).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
If the results of this election are not known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be official information published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).
This market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate for the next Quebec general election, defined as the total number of votes cast divided by the total number of eligible voters (see 2022 example: https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/en/results-and-statistics/general-election-results/2022-10-03/).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
If the results of this election are not known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be official information published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).
Обсяг
$1,319Дата завершення
Oct 5, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 31, 2026, 3:10 PM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.electionsquebec.qc.caВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...Voter turnout in the October 5 Quebec general election has centered trader expectations around the 66-70% range, reflecting historical baselines from the 2022 and 2018 contests near 66% alongside a competitive multi-party campaign. Recent polls show the Parti Québécois holding a narrow lead near 29%, with the Liberals, Coalition Avenir Québec, and others in contention across many ridings, a dynamic that typically lifts participation through heightened mobilization and vote efficiency concerns. Debates in September and ongoing pre-campaign activity since the August call have sustained visibility, yet structural factors such as persistently low youth engagement—around 54% among 18-24 year olds in 2022—and minimal Indigenous community participation continue to exert downward pressure. Absent major late-breaking events that could sharply increase engagement, the market consensus aligns with modest gains over recent cycles tempered by these demographic patterns.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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