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Геополітика·світові справи

Сі Цзіньпін вийде до 2027 року?

icon for Сі Цзіньпін вийде до 2027 року?
Геополітика·світові справи

Сі Цзіньпін вийде до 2027 року?

Jun 30

Dec 31

Jun 30

Dec 31

Так

7% шанс
Polymarket

$9,490,900 Обс.

Так

7% шанс
Polymarket

$9,490,900 Обс.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if China's General Secretary of the Communist Party, Xi Jinping, is removed from power for any length of time between July 3, 2025, and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". CCP General Secretary Xi Jinping will be considered removed from power if he announces his resignation from his role as General Secretary, or is otherwise dismissed, detained, disqualified, or otherwise loses his position or is prevented from fulfilling his duties as General Secretary within this market's timeframe. The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.Xi Jinping maintains firm institutional control through ongoing personnel adjustments and public leadership displays, including appearances at the March 2026 National People’s Congress and recent diplomatic engagements such as the U.S. summit. These actions align with patterns of centralized authority established since the 2018 removal of presidential term limits, with no formal successor positioned for an earlier handover. The 21st Party Congress scheduled for autumn 2027 remains the primary timeline for any leadership transition, and recent military leadership changes reinforce rather than undermine continuity. Trader consensus at 93.4% for the outcome not occurring reflects this structural stability and absence of credible internal challenges capable of forcing removal before the end of 2026, though unforeseen health developments or elite fractures could still alter the trajectory.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if China's General Secretary of the Communist Party, Xi Jinping, is removed from power for any length of time between July 3, 2025, and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

CCP General Secretary Xi Jinping will be considered removed from power if he announces his resignation from his role as General Secretary, or is otherwise dismissed, detained, disqualified, or otherwise loses his position or is prevented from fulfilling his duties as General Secretary within this market's timeframe.

The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Обсяг
$9,490,900
Дата завершення
Dec 31, 2026
Ринок відкрито
Jul 3, 2025, 4:35 PM ET

Вирішувач

0x157Ce2d67...

We anticipate rolling out a new rewards and oracle-resolution system later this year that will generate returns on your positions, at which point there will be a simple 1-click migration.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if China's General Secretary of the Communist Party, Xi Jinping, is removed from power for any length of time between July 3, 2025, and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". CCP General Secretary Xi Jinping will be considered removed from power if he announces his resignation from his role as General Secretary, or is otherwise dismissed, detained, disqualified, or otherwise loses his position or is prevented from fulfilling his duties as General Secretary within this market's timeframe. The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if China's General Secretary of the Communist Party, Xi Jinping, is removed from power for any length of time between July 3, 2025, and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". CCP General Secretary Xi Jinping will be considered removed from power if he announces his resignation from his role as General Secretary, or is otherwise dismissed, detained, disqualified, or otherwise loses his position or is prevented from fulfilling his duties as General Secretary within this market's timeframe. The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.Xi Jinping maintains firm institutional control through ongoing personnel adjustments and public leadership displays, including appearances at the March 2026 National People’s Congress and recent diplomatic engagements such as the U.S. summit. These actions align with patterns of centralized authority established since the 2018 removal of presidential term limits, with no formal successor positioned for an earlier handover. The 21st Party Congress scheduled for autumn 2027 remains the primary timeline for any leadership transition, and recent military leadership changes reinforce rather than undermine continuity. Trader consensus at 93.4% for the outcome not occurring reflects this structural stability and absence of credible internal challenges capable of forcing removal before the end of 2026, though unforeseen health developments or elite fractures could still alter the trajectory.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if China's General Secretary of the Communist Party, Xi Jinping, is removed from power for any length of time between July 3, 2025, and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

CCP General Secretary Xi Jinping will be considered removed from power if he announces his resignation from his role as General Secretary, or is otherwise dismissed, detained, disqualified, or otherwise loses his position or is prevented from fulfilling his duties as General Secretary within this market's timeframe.

The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Обсяг
$9,490,900
Дата завершення
Dec 31, 2026
Ринок відкрито
Jul 3, 2025, 4:35 PM ET

Вирішувач

0x157Ce2d67...

We anticipate rolling out a new rewards and oracle-resolution system later this year that will generate returns on your positions, at which point there will be a simple 1-click migration.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if China's General Secretary of the Communist Party, Xi Jinping, is removed from power for any length of time between July 3, 2025, and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". CCP General Secretary Xi Jinping will be considered removed from power if he announces his resignation from his role as General Secretary, or is otherwise dismissed, detained, disqualified, or otherwise loses his position or is prevented from fulfilling his duties as General Secretary within this market's timeframe. The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.

Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.

Часті запитання

«Сі Цзіньпін вийде до 2027 року?» — це ринок прогнозів на Polymarket з 2 можливими результатами, де трейдери купують і продають акції залежно від того, що, на їхню думку, станеться. Поточний лідер — «Сі Цзіньпін піде до 2027 року?» з 7%. Ціни відображають краудсорсингові ймовірності в реальному часі. Акції правильного результату погашаються по $1 кожна при вирішенні ринку.

Станом на сьогодні, «Сі Цзіньпін вийде до 2027 року?» згенерував $9.5 million загального обсягу торгів з моменту запуску ринку Jul 3, 2025. Цей рівень торгової активності відображає сильну залученість спільноти Polymarket та забезпечує, що поточні шанси базуються на глибокому пулі учасників ринку. Ви можете відстежувати рухи цін наживо та торгувати будь-яким результатом прямо на цій сторінці.

Щоб торгувати на «Сі Цзіньпін вийде до 2027 року?», перегляньте 2 доступних результатів на цій сторінці. Кожен результат відображає поточну ціну — ймовірність ринку. Оберіть результат, оберіть «Так» чи «Ні», введіть суму та натисніть «Торгувати». Якщо ваш вибір правильний при вирішенні, акції «Так» виплачують $1. Якщо ні — $0. Ви також можете продати акції в будь-який час до вирішення.

Це відкритий ринок. Поточний лідер для «Сі Цзіньпін вийде до 2027 року?» — «Сі Цзіньпін піде до 2027 року?» лише з 7%. Жоден результат не має впевненої більшості — трейдери вважають це дуже невизначеним.

Правила вирішення для «Сі Цзіньпін вийде до 2027 року?» точно визначають, що має статися для оголошення переможця — включаючи офіційні джерела даних. Ви можете переглянути повні критерії вирішення в розділі «Правила» на цій сторінці. Рекомендуємо уважно прочитати правила перед торгівлею.