Incumbent Republican Virginia Foxx secured her party's nomination in the March 3, 2026, primary for North Carolina's 5th congressional district, defeating multiple challengers with roughly three-quarters of the vote. Democrat Chuck Hubbard emerged as the opposing nominee after his primary victory. The district, redrawn in October 2025, retains a Republican tilt consistent with recent voting patterns and historical margins favoring GOP candidates. Traders assign an 85.5 percent implied probability to a Republican victory, reflecting the incumbent's established position, primary consolidation, and the seat's structural advantages ahead of the November 3 general election. Limited recent developments have left these factors as the dominant drivers of current positioning.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоNC-05 House Election Winner
NC-05 House Election Winner
$28,873 Обс.
$28,873 Обс.
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
86%
Democratic Party
13%
$28,873 Обс.
$28,873 Обс.
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
$21,961 Обс.
86%
Democratic Party
$6,911 Обс.
13%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NC-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Virginia Foxx secured her party's nomination in the March 3, 2026, primary for North Carolina's 5th congressional district, defeating multiple challengers with roughly three-quarters of the vote. Democrat Chuck Hubbard emerged as the opposing nominee after his primary victory. The district, redrawn in October 2025, retains a Republican tilt consistent with recent voting patterns and historical margins favoring GOP candidates. Traders assign an 85.5 percent implied probability to a Republican victory, reflecting the incumbent's established position, primary consolidation, and the seat's structural advantages ahead of the November 3 general election. Limited recent developments have left these factors as the dominant drivers of current positioning.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NC-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Ринок відкрито: Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ET
Обсяг
$28,873Дата завершення
Nov 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NC-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Virginia Foxx secured her party's nomination in the March 3, 2026, primary for North Carolina's 5th congressional district, defeating multiple challengers with roughly three-quarters of the vote. Democrat Chuck Hubbard emerged as the opposing nominee after his primary victory. The district, redrawn in October 2025, retains a Republican tilt consistent with recent voting patterns and historical margins favoring GOP candidates. Traders assign an 85.5 percent implied probability to a Republican victory, reflecting the incumbent's established position, primary consolidation, and the seat's structural advantages ahead of the November 3 general election. Limited recent developments have left these factors as the dominant drivers of current positioning.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NC-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Обсяг
$28,873Дата завершення
Nov 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Virginia Foxx secured her party's nomination in the March 3, 2026, primary for North Carolina's 5th congressional district, defeating multiple challengers with roughly three-quarters of the vote. Democrat Chuck Hubbard emerged as the opposing nominee after his primary victory. The district, redrawn in October 2025, retains a Republican tilt consistent with recent voting patterns and historical margins favoring GOP candidates. Traders assign an 85.5 percent implied probability to a Republican victory, reflecting the incumbent's established position, primary consolidation, and the seat's structural advantages ahead of the November 3 general election. Limited recent developments have left these factors as the dominant drivers of current positioning.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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